沙田 · 2024-12-01 · 07:05
第 5場
2024-12-01沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1000米。由C Y Ho策騎、P C Ng訓練的HEALTHY HEALTHY勝出，贏出NOSE。STELLAR EXPRESS獲得亞軍；SUPER FORTUNE獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門KA YING VICTORY跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT 0.56.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 4.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS B1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 8.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 14 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | O'LINER TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 91.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CARROLL STREET B-/V1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MATTERS MOST TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | KA YING VICTORY Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 2.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | PARTERRE B A Pouchin · W Y So | A Pouchin | W Y So | 10 | 37.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT E C W Wong · K W Lui | E C W Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | RUN RUN SMART TT1 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 3 | 72.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | MAGIC HALLOW XB1/TT1 P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 13 | 52.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | POWER KOEPP B/E L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 2 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | THE REVOLUTION Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 74.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ALPHA ONE M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING VICTORY | 28.3% | 3.53 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 12.6% | 7.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER FORTUNE | 9.1% | 10.94 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | CARROLL STREET | 5.9% | 17.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | O'LINER | 4.5% | 22.26 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | MAGIC HALLOW | 4.4% | 22.93 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | RUN RUN SMART | 3.6% | 27.98 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | THE REVOLUTION | 3.4% | 29.30 | 14 |
| 10 | 7 | MATTERS MOST | 3.2% | 31.08 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | POWER KOEPP | 3.2% | 31.38 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | PARTERRE | 3.1% | 32.35 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 2.9% | 35.05 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | POSITIVE SMILE | 1.5% | 65.94 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 45
PLACE
5 23
6 16
13 16.5
QUINELLA
5,6 222
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 68
5,13 68
6,13 34.5
FORECAST
6,5 349
TIERCE
6,5,13 1,600
TRIO
5,6,13 233
FIRST 4
5,6,9,13 2,176
QUARTET
6,5,13,9 32,605
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/12/5 557
5/12/6 3,748
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 150
12/6 934