沙田 · 2024-12-01 · 08:45
第 8場
2024-12-01沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米。由H Bowman策騎、M Newnham訓練的TALENTS AMBITION勝出，贏出1/2。FIGHTING MACHINE獲得亞軍；PERFECT TEAM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TALENTS AMBITION 後段發力 B/XB 1.38.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 11 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 B/SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 P/TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | APACHE PASS B-/CP2 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 1 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 SR/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | JOLLY RULER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 7.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 2 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | THESIS TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 5 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FRANTANCK TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 12 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | FUN TOGETHER 早段領放 CP/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 88.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 25.5% | 3.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | TALENTS AMBITION | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | MUST GO | 10.9% | 9.17 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY | 6.3% | 15.94 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | JOLLY RULER | 5.9% | 17.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 5.9% | 17.09 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | APACHE PASS | 5.5% | 18.23 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | WINNING STEPS | 4.8% | 20.92 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 4.0% | 24.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | FUN TOGETHER | 2.9% | 34.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | FRANTANCK | 2.9% | 35.06 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | THESIS | 2.8% | 35.48 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | RED MAJESTY | 2.4% | 40.96 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 37.5
PLACE
4 32
5 16
6 16.5
QUINELLA
5,6 73
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 71.5
4,6 69.5
5,6 32
FORECAST
5,6 126
TIERCE
5,6,4 558
TRIO
4,5,6 116
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 733
QUARTET
5,6,4,7 9,499
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,12/4,5,6 17,600
7TH DOUBLE
12/5 117.5
12/6 29.5