沙田 · 2024-12-01 · 07:40
第 6場
2024-12-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1800米。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的RELIABLE PROFIT勝出，贏出N。EXCEL WONGCHOY獲得亞軍；HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RELIABLE PROFIT 後段發力 P/TT 1.48.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 13 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 2 | EXCEL WONGCHOY 後段發力 H/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 6.3 | N |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 早段領放 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 116.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT CP/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | SOARING BRONCO 後段發力 TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | JUBILATION 後段發力 V J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 14 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | ON THE LASH B/XB/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 11 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | MILES AWAY CP A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 64.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET 後段發力 H/PC/XB/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 10 | 24.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | DEAL COMPLETED B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 28.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | DEVILDOM B A Pouchin · T P Yung | A Pouchin | T P Yung | 4 | 46.0 | 23-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | ENSHINE B/H C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 159.0 | 26-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 17.0% | 5.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 14.5% | 6.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | SOARING BRONCO | 12.3% | 8.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT | 10.9% | 9.14 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS | 9.2% | 10.88 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | JUBILATION | 8.5% | 11.75 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST | 5.9% | 17.07 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | ON THE LASH | 5.4% | 18.36 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 4.6% | 21.84 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | DEAL COMPLETED | 3.7% | 27.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | DEVILDOM | 3.4% | 29.57 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 1.8% | 54.39 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | MILES AWAY | 1.5% | 67.73 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | ENSHINE | 1.3% | 76.27 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 33
PLACE
2 23.5
8 15.5
11 235.5
QUINELLA
2,8 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 46
2,11 826
8,11 632.5
FORECAST
8,2 199
TIERCE
8,2,11 13,366
TRIO
2,8,11 2,808
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 3,804
QUARTET
8,2,11,10 48,262
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,13/2,8,11 63,707
5TH DOUBLE
6/2 75
6/8 427.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,12/5,6,13/2,8,11 4,139,321
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,12/5,6,13/Any Combination 3,126