沙田 · 2024-12-01 · 09:20
第 9場
2024-12-01沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、P F Yiu訓練的DRAGON JOY勝出，贏出1。TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR獲得亞軍；MASTER OF ALL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DRAGON JOY 後段發力 SR/TT1 1.22.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | MASTER OF ALL 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE 後段發力 B/TT J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 12 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND 後段發力 XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 4.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON 後段發力 CP B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE 後段發力 PC-/B2 B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING AKEED 後段發力 B1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 105.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HE WAS YOU TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 14 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | BRILLIANT FIRE 後段發力 H/XB/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 183.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | JOLLY JUMPER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 108.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | RUN RAN RUN B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 105.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | MEEPMEEP B/E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 14.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER OF ALL | 15.8% | 6.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED | 12.8% | 7.82 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | DRAGON JOY | 12.4% | 8.06 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND | 11.6% | 8.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 8.7% | 11.47 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | MEEPMEEP | 7.7% | 13.01 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON | 7.2% | 13.97 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.3% | 15.98 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 5.2% | 19.07 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | HE WAS YOU | 3.4% | 29.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | JOLLY JUMPER | 3.2% | 31.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | FLYING AKEED | 2.7% | 37.53 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 1.8% | 57.05 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | RUN RAN RUN | 1.2% | 80.65 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 28
PLACE
5 15.5
6 14
14 33.5
QUINELLA
6,14 172
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 24
5,14 98
6,14 64
FORECAST
6,14 281
TIERCE
6,14,5 1,117
TRIO
5,6,14 237
FIRST 4
5,6,12,14 597
QUARTET
6,14,5,12 9,556
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
5/6 94
5/14 96.5