沙田 · 2024-12-18 · 13:55
第 6場
2024-12-18沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的SIGHT SUPREME勝出，贏出NOSE。SPANGLE FORTUNE獲得亞軍；VIVA CHALEUR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門RELIABLE PROFIT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SIGHT SUPREME 後段發力 B 1.38.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 9.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE 後段發力 B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 12 | 14.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | VIVA CHALEUR 後段發力 H/PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 3 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT 後段發力 P/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | REGENT GLORY B-/CP2 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 2 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | YEAH BUDDY H/V/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 11 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | TALE OF PERTH B B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 1 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | ACE POWER 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 13 | 33.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 40.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | JUMBO FORTUNE V-/PC2/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 6 | 5.1 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | THE WAY WE WIN CP/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 8 | 104.0 | 20 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 27.8% | 3.60 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 19.4% | 5.15 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | VIVA CHALEUR | 11.4% | 8.81 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | YODA'S CHOICE | 7.3% | 13.72 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | REGENT GLORY | 6.6% | 15.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SIGHT SUPREME | 5.8% | 17.13 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE | 4.7% | 21.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | YEAH BUDDY | 4.4% | 22.51 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.82 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | ACE POWER | 3.1% | 32.04 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | MASSIVE ACTION | 3.1% | 32.54 | 4 |
| 12 | 1 | TALE OF PERTH | 1.4% | 72.30 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | THE WAY WE WIN | 0.7% | 148.95 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 96.5
PLACE
5 34.5
10 31.5
12 39.5
QUINELLA
10,12 857.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 155
5,12 200
10,12 225
FORECAST
10,12 1,421
TIERCE
10,12,5 12,572
TRIO
5,10,12 2,974
FIRST 4
3,5,10,12 14,109
QUARTET
10,12,5,3 226,873
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,13/5,10,12 1,357,673
5TH DOUBLE
6/10 961
6/12 190
TRIPLE TRIO
4,7,10/6,10,13/5,10,12 31,261,148
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,10/6,10,13/Any Combination 15,161