沙田 · 2024-12-18 · 14:25
第 7場
2024-12-18沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米。由C L Chau策騎、C S Shum訓練的PACKING BOLE勝出，贏出1/2。SELF IMPROVEMENT獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門HAROLD WIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING BOLE CP1/TT 1.08.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 7 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | HAROLD WIN B/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | DANCING CODE B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | BOWSER PC/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE XB-/SR/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 36.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY SR/V1/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 5 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP2/TT P N Wong · W K Mo | P N Wong | W K Mo | 11 | 44.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCING CODE | 15.1% | 6.63 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | MUST GO | 12.5% | 8.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | HAROLD WIN | 10.9% | 9.20 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING BOLE | 10.7% | 9.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 10.6% | 9.44 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 10.1% | 9.95 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | BOWSER | 8.6% | 11.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 7.4% | 13.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY | 6.7% | 15.01 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 4.7% | 21.20 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 2.8% | 35.11 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 45.5
PLACE
2 22
6 20.5
11 16
QUINELLA
2,6 166
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 63
2,11 53
6,11 44.5
FORECAST
6,2 373
TIERCE
6,2,11 1,555
TRIO
2,6,11 295
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 2,503
QUARTET
6,2,11,9 43,934
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
10/2 218.5
10/6 881.5