Sha Tin · 2024-12-18 · 14:25
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-18 was Class 3 over 1200m. PACKING BOLE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with SELF IMPROVEMENT second and HAROLD WIN third. The 3.9 favourite HAROLD WIN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING BOLE CP1/TT 1.08.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 7 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | HAROLD WIN B/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | DANCING CODE B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 9.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | BOWSER PC/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE XB-/SR/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 36.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY SR/V1/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 5 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP2/TT P N Wong · W K Mo | P N Wong | W K Mo | 11 | 44.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCING CODE | 15.1% | 6.63 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | MUST GO | 12.5% | 8.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | HAROLD WIN | 10.9% | 9.20 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING BOLE | 10.7% | 9.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 10.6% | 9.44 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 10.1% | 9.95 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | BOWSER | 8.6% | 11.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 7.4% | 13.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY | 6.7% | 15.01 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 4.7% | 21.20 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 2.8% | 35.11 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 45.5
PLACE
2 22
6 20.5
11 16
QUINELLA
2,6 166
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 63
2,11 53
6,11 44.5
FORECAST
6,2 373
TIERCE
6,2,11 1,555
TRIO
2,6,11 295
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 2,503
QUARTET
6,2,11,9 43,934
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/2 218.5
10/6 881.5