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Sha Tin · 2024-12-18 · 11:50

Race 2

Class 5 1800m 11 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-18 was Class 5 over 1800m. YEABOI, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with PRECISION GOAL second and GO GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SOARING BRONCO finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.49.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 YEABOI Closed strongly TT 1.49.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C H Yip 6 6.2 SH
2 6 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 10 6.9 SH
3 1 GO GO GO PC/TT E C W Wong · W Y So 1 6.8 1-1/2
4 13 JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 7 6.5 2-1/2
5 12 SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B-/P1/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 11 16.0 4-3/4
6 2 SOARING BRONCO TT J McDonald · P C Ng 2 3.2 5
7 3 SOLAR GOGO B K C Leung · T P Yung 3 36.0 5-3/4
8 11 TIGER AND GOLD Closed strongly CP-/P1 B Thompson · C H Yip 8 81.0 6-1/4
9 7 CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting 5 9.8 7
10 9 MISTER FOX B Avdulla · D J Hall 9 21.0 7-1/4
11 4 MR ALADDIN B-/V2/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng 4 18.0 10-1/2
5 COLOURFUL BARON L Hewitson · D J Whyte
8 HARRY'S HERO K De Melo · P F Yiu

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YEABOI2. PRECISION GOAL+0.1L3. GO GO GO+1.5L4. JOYFUL CHAMPION+2.5L5. SUPERB MOVE+4.75L6. SOARING BRONCO+5L7. SOLAR GOGO+5.75L8. TIGER AND GOLD+6.25L9. CHATEAU LE PECHE+7L10. MISTER FOX+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SOARING BRONCO (24.3%) finished 6th — the winner YEABOI was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SOARING BRONCO 24.3% 4.12 6
2 1 GO GO GO 12.5% 8.02 3
3 13 JOYFUL CHAMPION 12.5% 8.03 4
4 7 CHATEAU LE PECHE 12.4% 8.04 9
5 6 PRECISION GOAL 10.2% 9.79 2
6 10 YEABOI 9.9% 10.07 1
7 4 MR ALADDIN 8.1% 12.34 11
8 3 SOLAR GOGO 3.9% 25.96 7
9 9 MISTER FOX 2.9% 34.83 10
10 12 SUPERB MOVE 2.4% 41.08 5
11 11 TIGER AND GOLD 1.0% 103.92 8
SOARING BRONCOGO GO GOJOYFUL CHAMPIONCHATEAU LE PECHEPRECISION GOALYEABOI — wonMR ALADDINSOLAR GOGOMISTER FOXSUPERB MOVETIGER AND GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 62.5

PLACE

1 20

6 28

10 23

QUINELLA

6,10 281

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 86

1,10 64

6,10 98

FORECAST

10,6 505

TIERCE

10,6,1 1,981

TRIO

1,6,10 332

FIRST 4

1,6,10,13 235

QUARTET

10,6,1,13 5,359

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

9/6 153

9/10 487

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,9,11/1,6,10 11,812

9,10,11/1,6,10 28,824