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Sha Tin · 2024-12-18 · 19:49

Race 2

Class 5 1800m 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 YEABOI Closed strongly TT 1.49.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C H Yip 6 6.2 SH
2 6 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 10 6.9 SH
3 1 GO GO GO PC/TT E C W Wong · W Y So 1 6.8 1-1/2
4 13 JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 7 6.5 2-1/2
5 12 SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B-/P1/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 11 16.0 4-3/4
6 2 SOARING BRONCO TT J McDonald · P C Ng 2 3.2 5
7 3 SOLAR GOGO B K C Leung · T P Yung 3 36.0 5-3/4
8 11 TIGER AND GOLD Closed strongly CP-/P1 B Thompson · C H Yip 8 81.0 6-1/4
9 7 CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting 5 9.8 7
10 9 MISTER FOX B Avdulla · D J Hall 9 21.0 7-1/4
11 4 MR ALADDIN B-/V2/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng 4 18.0 10-1/2
— 5 COLOURFUL BARON L Hewitson · D J Whyte — — —
— 8 HARRY'S HERO K De Melo · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-18 was Class 5 over 1800m. YEABOI, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with PRECISION GOAL second and GO GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SOARING BRONCO finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YEABOI—2. PRECISION GOAL+0.1L3. GO GO GO+1.5L4. JOYFUL CHAMPION+2.5L5. SUPERB MOVE+4.75L6. SOARING BRONCO+5L7. SOLAR GOGO+5.75L8. TIGER AND GOLD+6.25L9. CHATEAU LE PECHE+7L10. MISTER FOX+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SOARING BRONCO (24.3%) finished 6th — the winner YEABOI was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SOARING BRONCO 24.3% 4.12 6
2 1 GO GO GO 12.5% 8.02 3
3 13 JOYFUL CHAMPION 12.5% 8.03 4
4 7 CHATEAU LE PECHE 12.4% 8.04 9
5 6 PRECISION GOAL 10.2% 9.79 2
6 10 YEABOI 9.9% 10.07 1
7 4 MR ALADDIN 8.1% 12.34 11
8 3 SOLAR GOGO 3.9% 25.96 7
9 9 MISTER FOX 2.9% 34.83 10
10 12 SUPERB MOVE 2.4% 41.08 5
11 11 TIGER AND GOLD 1.0% 103.92 8
SOARING BRONCOGO GO GOJOYFUL CHAMPIONCHATEAU LE PECHEPRECISION GOALYEABOI — wonMR ALADDINSOLAR GOGOMISTER FOXSUPERB MOVETIGER AND GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 62.5

PLACE

1 20

6 28

10 23

QUINELLA

6,10 281

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 86

1,10 64

6,10 98

FORECAST

10,6 505

TIERCE

10,6,1 1,981

TRIO

1,6,10 332

FIRST 4

1,6,10,13 235

QUARTET

10,6,1,13 5,359

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

9/6 153

9/10 487

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,9,11/1,6,10 11,812

9,10,11/1,6,10 28,824