Sha Tin · 2024-12-18 · 11:20
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-18 was Class 5 over 1200m. EXCELLENT DADDY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with CHEER FOR SOUTH second and SONIC BOOM third. The 5.2 favourite SONIC BOOM finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 12 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | DIAMOND SOARS B/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.6 | N |
| 5 | 8 | FALCON COURT B2/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B-/XB-/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 10 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | SILVER DESTINY B-/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 6.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP CP/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 9 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER GLORY PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 3 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | DOUBLE BINGO B- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FANCY STAR P-/B1/TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 6 | 63.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SONIC BOOM | 20.2% | 4.96 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | DIAMOND SOARS | 13.7% | 7.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SILVER DESTINY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 12.5% | 8.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 7.8% | 12.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 7.8% | 12.80 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER GLORY | 6.6% | 15.10 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | FANCY STAR | 5.6% | 17.83 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 5.4% | 18.42 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | FALCON COURT | 3.0% | 32.88 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP | 2.3% | 43.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | DOUBLE BINGO | 2.0% | 48.79 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 133
PLACE
4 10.1
9 30.5
10 13.5
11 23.5
QUINELLA
9,11 417
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 30.5
4,10 26.5
4,11 23.5
9,10 66
9,11 137
10,11 31.5
FORECAST
9,11 957
TIERCE
9,11,4 2,440
9,11,10 3,450
TRIO
4,9,11 325
9,10,11 518
FIRST 4
4,9,10,11 994
QUARTET
9,11,4,10 15,135
9,11,10,4 16,278