沙田 · 2024-12-18 · 11:20
第 1場
2024-12-18沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、T P Yung訓練的EXCELLENT DADDY勝出，贏出SH。CHEER FOR SOUTH獲得亞軍；SONIC BOOM獲得季軍。5.2倍大熱門SONIC BOOM跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 12 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | DIAMOND SOARS B/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.6 | N |
| 5 | 8 | FALCON COURT B2/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B-/XB-/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 10 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | SILVER DESTINY B-/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 6.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP CP/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 9 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER GLORY PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 3 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | DOUBLE BINGO B- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FANCY STAR P-/B1/TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 6 | 63.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SONIC BOOM | 20.2% | 4.96 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | DIAMOND SOARS | 13.7% | 7.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SILVER DESTINY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 12.5% | 8.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 7.8% | 12.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 7.8% | 12.80 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER GLORY | 6.6% | 15.10 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | FANCY STAR | 5.6% | 17.83 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 5.4% | 18.42 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | FALCON COURT | 3.0% | 32.88 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP | 2.3% | 43.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | DOUBLE BINGO | 2.0% | 48.79 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 133
PLACE
4 10.1
9 30.5
10 13.5
11 23.5
QUINELLA
9,11 417
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 30.5
4,10 26.5
4,11 23.5
9,10 66
9,11 137
10,11 31.5
FORECAST
9,11 957
TIERCE
9,11,4 2,440
9,11,10 3,450
TRIO
4,9,11 325
9,10,11 518
FIRST 4
4,9,10,11 994
QUARTET
9,11,4,10 15,135
9,11,10,4 16,278