沙田 · 2025-01-26 · 06:40
第 5場
2025-01-26沙田第5場，Class 4，途程2000米。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的GOOD GOOD勝出，贏出NOSE。BILLIONAIRE SECRET獲得亞軍；MANAGEMENT FOLKS獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.3倍大熱門SOARING BRONCO跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOOD GOOD 一路領先 B 2.02.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 6.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 10 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET 後段發力 PC-/H/XB/B2 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 18.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 CP K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SOARING BRONCO PC1/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 3 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B A Pouchin · P F Yiu | A Pouchin | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SERANGOON 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | JUBILATION 後段發力 V M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 39.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | ACE WAR B-/XB1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 127.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | TRADITION 後段發力 B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 12 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | AFFORDABLE B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 5.2 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 TT2 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 73.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SILVER KING H/P/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 57.0 | 27-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 25.8% | 3.88 | 12 |
| 2 | 13 | SOARING BRONCO | 15.4% | 6.51 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | SERANGOON | 12.6% | 7.95 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | GOOD GOOD | 9.3% | 10.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SILVER KING | 5.9% | 16.91 | 14 |
| 6 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 5.1% | 19.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 4.7% | 21.28 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | AFFORDABLE | 4.3% | 23.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 4.3% | 23.43 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 3.9% | 25.46 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | TRADITION | 3.1% | 31.90 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | JUBILATION | 3.0% | 33.37 | 8 |
| 13 | 4 | S J TOURBILLON | 1.7% | 58.98 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | ACE WAR | 0.9% | 105.43 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 67.5
PLACE
10 48.5
11 27
12 34.5
QUINELLA
10,11 615
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 225.5
10,12 324
11,12 149.5
FORECAST
11,10 1,240
TIERCE
11,10,12 13,868
TRIO
10,11,12 3,209
FIRST 4
10,11,12,13 2,248
QUARTET
11,10,12,13 73,246
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/6/10 229
4/6/11 320
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,13/10,11,12 58,236
4TH DOUBLE
6/10 86
6/11 158