沙田 · 2025-01-26 · 05:05
第 2場
2025-01-26沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米。由H Bentley策騎、W K Mo訓練的GLUCK RACER勝出，贏出SH。REGENCY HAPPY STAR獲得亞軍；SPEEDY CHARIOT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門REGENCY HAPPY STAR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GLUCK RACER 後段發力 H-/B 1.22.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 9.3 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR 後段發力 XB/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 9 | 2.8 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | SPEEDY CHARIOT 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY 後段發力 B- K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 52.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MULTIDARLING 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 87.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | WOODFIRE CHAMP V/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | THE KHAN 後段發力 SR E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | FLYING PHANTOM 後段發力 H/B1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 4.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 68.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CIRCUIT VICTORY TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | SILVER DESTINY TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | EVER SMART 早段領放 TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 6.6 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GANGNAM STAR XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 100.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | HARRY'S HERO H A Pouchin · P F Yiu | A Pouchin | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | RATTAN WORLD A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EVER SMART | 15.5% | 6.45 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 12.7% | 7.90 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING PHANTOM | 12.4% | 8.08 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 10.0% | 10.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | HARRY'S HERO | 9.0% | 11.17 | 14 |
| 6 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 8.4% | 11.96 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 5.6% | 17.78 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | SILVER DESTINY | 5.6% | 17.81 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | THE KHAN | 5.4% | 18.67 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 4.1% | 24.67 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 3.9% | 25.64 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 3.9% | 25.84 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 2.2% | 45.58 | 5 |
| 14 | 7 | GANGNAM STAR | 1.6% | 63.65 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 93
PLACE
8 24
11 81.5
13 14
QUINELLA
8,13 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 303
8,13 52
11,13 187.5
FORECAST
8,13 304
TIERCE
8,13,11 5,501
TRIO
8,11,13 1,187
FIRST 4
6,8,11,13 8,227
QUARTET
8,13,11,6 123,907
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/8 783
3/13 96.5