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Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 13:01

Race 2

Class 5 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.78
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H-/B 1.22.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W K Mo 1 9.3 SH
2 13 REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · D Eustace 9 2.8 SH
3 11 SPEEDY CHARIOT Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 4 31.0 2-1/2
4 6 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly B- K Teetan · D J Hall 12 52.0 2-3/4
5 12 MULTIDARLING Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 11 87.0 3-3/4
6 9 WOODFIRE CHAMP V/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 36.0 4-1/4
7 1 THE KHAN Closed strongly SR E C W Wong · C Fownes 7 14.0 4-1/4
8 4 FLYING PHANTOM Closed strongly H/B1 H Bowman · J Size 6 4.3 4-3/4
9 14 CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 68.0 5-1/4
10 2 CIRCUIT VICTORY TT1 M F Poon · K L Man 13 29.0 7
11 5 SILVER DESTINY TT K C Leung · C H Yip 8 17.0 8-1/4
12 3 EVER SMART Led early TT Z Purton · F C Lor 14 6.6 9-1/4
13 7 GANGNAM STAR XB A Hamelin · P C Ng 10 100.0 10
14 10 HARRY'S HERO H A Pouchin · P F Yiu 2 10.0 12
— 0 RATTAN WORLD A Atzeni · J Richards — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 5 over 1400m. GLUCK RACER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W K Mo, won by SH, with REGENCY HAPPY STAR second and SPEEDY CHARIOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite REGENCY HAPPY STAR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GLUCK RACER—2. REGENCY HAPPY STAR+0.1L3. SPEEDY CHARIOT+2.5L4. WINDICATOR FAMILY+2.75L5. MULTIDARLING+3.75L6. WOODFIRE CHAMP+4.25L7. THE KHAN+4.25L8. FLYING PHANTOM+4.75L9. CALIFORNIA ICON+5.25L10. CIRCUIT VICTORY+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick EVER SMART (15.5%) finished 12th — the winner GLUCK RACER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 EVER SMART 15.5% 6.45 12
2 8 GLUCK RACER 12.7% 7.90 1
3 4 FLYING PHANTOM 12.4% 8.08 8
4 13 REGENCY HAPPY STAR 10.0% 10.03 2
5 10 HARRY'S HERO 9.0% 11.17 14
6 6 WINDICATOR FAMILY 8.4% 11.96 4
7 11 SPEEDY CHARIOT 5.6% 17.78 3
8 5 SILVER DESTINY 5.6% 17.81 11
9 1 THE KHAN 5.4% 18.67 7
10 14 CALIFORNIA ICON 4.1% 24.67 9
11 9 WOODFIRE CHAMP 3.9% 25.64 6
12 2 CIRCUIT VICTORY 3.9% 25.84 10
13 12 MULTIDARLING 2.2% 45.58 5
14 7 GANGNAM STAR 1.6% 63.65 13
EVER SMARTGLUCK RACER — wonFLYING PHANTOMREGENCY HAPPY STARHARRY'S HEROWINDICATOR FAMILYSPEEDY CHARIOTSILVER DESTINYTHE KHANCALIFORNIA ICONWOODFIRE CHAMPCIRCUIT VICTORYMULTIDARLINGGANGNAM STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 93

PLACE

8 24

11 81.5

13 14

QUINELLA

8,13 146.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,11 303

8,13 52

11,13 187.5

FORECAST

8,13 304

TIERCE

8,13,11 5,501

TRIO

8,11,13 1,187

FIRST 4

6,8,11,13 8,227

QUARTET

8,13,11,6 123,907

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/8 783

3/13 96.5