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Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 15:08

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B1/TT 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 5 3.0 3
2 7 WIN SPEED Closed strongly B M Chadwick · M Newnham 3 12.0 3
3 11 MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 2 4.5 3
4 14 LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H L Hewitson · D A Hayes 1 6.7 4
5 3 SOUTH STAR Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 12 17.0 4
6 13 GOLDEN DARCI Closed strongly XB/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall 14 19.0 5-1/4
7 12 CIRCUIT FIERY CP-/PC1/TT M F Poon · W Y So 10 8.4 6-1/2
8 6 TEAM HAPPY B/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng 6 34.0 7
9 5 HAPPY DAY CP-/V2/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 4 40.0 7-1/4
10 4 CHILL KAKA PC H Bentley · P F Yiu 8 32.0 8-1/2
11 9 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 7 175.0 8-1/2
12 8 BABY SATELLITE Closed strongly TT A Pouchin · D Eustace 13 207.0 8-3/4
13 1 HAPPY PARK Led early A Atzeni · K W Lui 11 9.6 11-1/4
14 10 ALL ARE MINE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 96.0 11-1/2
— 0 PERPETUAL POWER H T Mo · T P Yung — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 4 over 1400m. YUEN LONG ELITE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 3, with WIN SPEED second and MONARCH COUNTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YUEN LONG ELITE—2. WIN SPEED+3L3. MONARCH COUNTY+3L4. LUCKY MAN+4L5. SOUTH STAR+4L6. GOLDEN DARCI+5.25L7. CIRCUIT FIERY+6.5L8. TEAM HAPPY+7L9. HAPPY DAY+7.25L10. CHILL KAKA+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick YUEN LONG ELITE (30.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 YUEN LONG ELITE 30.8% 3.25 1
2 7 WIN SPEED 14.0% 7.15 2
3 14 LUCKY MAN 13.0% 7.72 4
4 11 MONARCH COUNTY 10.5% 9.51 3
5 1 HAPPY PARK 5.5% 18.05 13
6 5 HAPPY DAY 4.4% 22.89 9
7 13 GOLDEN DARCI 4.2% 23.85 6
8 3 SOUTH STAR 4.0% 25.07 5
9 12 CIRCUIT FIERY 3.4% 29.81 7
10 6 TEAM HAPPY 3.2% 31.71 8
11 4 CHILL KAKA 2.9% 34.78 10
12 10 ALL ARE MINE 2.7% 36.73 14
13 9 THE AUSPICIOUS 1.1% 89.97 11
14 8 BABY SATELLITE 0.4% 230.00 12
YUEN LONG ELITE — wonWIN SPEEDLUCKY MANMONARCH COUNTYHAPPY PARKHAPPY DAYGOLDEN DARCISOUTH STARCIRCUIT FIERYTEAM HAPPYCHILL KAKAALL ARE MINETHE AUSPICIOUSBABY SATELLITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 30.5

PLACE

2 15.5

7 35.5

11 17

QUINELLA

2,7 199.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 68.5

2,11 35

7,11 99.5

FORECAST

2,7 324

TIERCE

2,7,11 1,211

TRIO

2,7,11 263

FIRST 4

2,7,11,14 225

QUARTET

2,7,11,14 4,208

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

11/2 294.5

11/7 152