Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 07:10
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 4 over 1400m. YUEN LONG ELITE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 3, with WIN SPEED second and MONARCH COUNTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B1/TT 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | WIN SPEED Closed strongly B M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | SOUTH STAR Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLDEN DARCI Closed strongly XB/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 14 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY CP-/PC1/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 10 | 8.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TEAM HAPPY B/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 6 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | HAPPY DAY CP-/V2/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 4 | 40.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | CHILL KAKA PC H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 175.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | BABY SATELLITE Closed strongly TT A Pouchin · D Eustace | A Pouchin | D Eustace | 13 | 207.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | HAPPY PARK Led early A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 11 | 9.6 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 96.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PERPETUAL POWER H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 30.8% | 3.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | WIN SPEED | 14.0% | 7.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | LUCKY MAN | 13.0% | 7.72 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | MONARCH COUNTY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY PARK | 5.5% | 18.05 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY DAY | 4.4% | 22.89 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | GOLDEN DARCI | 4.2% | 23.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SOUTH STAR | 4.0% | 25.07 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 3.4% | 29.81 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | TEAM HAPPY | 3.2% | 31.71 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | CHILL KAKA | 2.9% | 34.78 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE | 2.7% | 36.73 | 14 |
| 13 | 9 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 1.1% | 89.97 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | BABY SATELLITE | 0.4% | 230.00 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 30.5
PLACE
2 15.5
7 35.5
11 17
QUINELLA
2,7 199.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 68.5
2,11 35
7,11 99.5
FORECAST
2,7 324
TIERCE
2,7,11 1,211
TRIO
2,7,11 263
FIRST 4
2,7,11,14 225
QUARTET
2,7,11,14 4,208
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/2 294.5
11/7 152