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Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 06:10

Race 4

Class 4 1000m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 4 over 1000m. MAGNIFIQUE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with ENJOY GOLF second and COUNTRY DANCER third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.57.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MAGNIFIQUE 0.57.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 10 2.0 1
2 2 ENJOY GOLF B H Bowman · F C Lor 11 4.7 1
3 13 COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size 9 9.2 1-3/4
4 8 METRO WARRIOR B L Ferraris · D A Hayes 2 31.0 2
5 1 ALLURING LAOS CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 4 17.0 2-1/4
6 9 RUN RUN TIMING B2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 14 7.3 3
7 12 COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Hamelin · C W Chang 6 35.0 4
8 14 SILVER SPURS CP/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 5 72.0 4-3/4
9 7 SNOWTHORN CP1/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 3 18.0 6-1/2
10 10 SHINY RAPIDASH V-/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 7 93.0 8-3/4
11 5 MAGIC BEANS TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 12 91.0 9-1/2
12 11 SONIC PURSUIT CP1/TT A Badel · J Richards 13 38.0 9-1/2
13 3 APPEALING CITY XB1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 8 128.0 12-3/4
14 4 LA MOMENTO H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 113.0 15-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAGNIFIQUE2. ENJOY GOLF+1L3. COUNTRY DANCER+1.75L4. METRO WARRIOR+2L5. ALLURING LAOS+2.25L6. RUN RUN TIMING+3L7. COSMO NAVIGATOR+4L8. SILVER SPURS+4.75L9. SNOWTHORN+6.5L10. SHINY RAPIDASH+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MAGNIFIQUE (38.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MAGNIFIQUE 38.7% 2.58 1
2 13 COUNTRY DANCER 12.8% 7.78 3
3 1 ALLURING LAOS 9.0% 11.12 5
4 2 ENJOY GOLF 8.4% 11.84 2
5 14 SILVER SPURS 5.2% 19.30 8
6 5 MAGIC BEANS 5.0% 20.11 11
7 12 COSMO NAVIGATOR 4.8% 21.03 7
8 7 SNOWTHORN 4.3% 23.43 9
9 9 RUN RUN TIMING 4.2% 23.81 6
10 3 APPEALING CITY 2.2% 45.74 13
11 10 SHINY RAPIDASH 1.8% 54.63 10
12 8 METRO WARRIOR 1.5% 66.20 4
13 11 SONIC PURSUIT 1.5% 67.07 12
14 4 LA MOMENTO 0.6% 170.53 14
MAGNIFIQUE — wonCOUNTRY DANCERALLURING LAOSENJOY GOLFSILVER SPURSMAGIC BEANSCOSMO NAVIGATORSNOWTHORNRUN RUN TIMINGAPPEALING CITYSHINY RAPIDASHMETRO WARRIORSONIC PURSUITLA MOMENTO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 20

PLACE

2 14.5

6 13

13 21.5

QUINELLA

2,6 50.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 26

2,13 53.5

6,13 36

FORECAST

6,2 77

TIERCE

6,2,13 325

TRIO

2,6,13 115

FIRST 4

2,6,8,13 542

QUARTET

6,2,13,8 4,329

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

4/2 17.5

4/6 39.5