Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 15:41
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NEVER PETER OUT Closed strongly V/TT 1.38.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 9.1 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | ARIEL B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.2 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 6.0 | HD |
| 4 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SIGHT SUPREME Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 8.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | THESIS Closed strongly TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE Led early B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 3.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | DAILY TROPHY B2/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HEALTHY GOLF XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 172.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 8 | 8.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT- H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 19.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | STARMEN H/P/TT2 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 13 | 118.0 | 24-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | SIKANDAR CP/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 159.0 | 24-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. NEVER PETER OUT, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with ARIEL second and LUCKY TOUCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SPANGLE FORTUNE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH | 15.6% | 6.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | NEVER PETER OUT | 13.5% | 7.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT SUPREME | 12.8% | 7.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 8.2% | 12.25 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | THESIS | 6.7% | 14.91 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | ARIEL | 6.6% | 15.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR | 6.3% | 15.98 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | DAILY TROPHY | 5.6% | 17.99 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | STARMEN | 2.2% | 45.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 1.7% | 58.49 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | SIKANDAR | 0.5% | 190.31 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | HEALTHY GOLF | 0.5% | 195.26 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 91
PLACE
1 22.5
2 22.5
5 26.5
QUINELLA
1,5 265.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 78.5
1,5 86.5
2,5 77
FORECAST
5,1 523
TIERCE
5,1,2 3,177
TRIO
1,2,5 532
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 2,125
QUARTET
5,1,2,6 50,750
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/1,2,5 13,086
6TH DOUBLE
2/1 54
2/5 254
TRIPLE TRIO
10,11,12/2,7,11/1,2,5 3,449,676
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,11,12/2,7,11/Any Combination 32,282