沙田 · 2025-01-26 · 07:45
第 7場
2025-01-26沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1650米。由M L Yeung策騎、F C Lor訓練的NEVER PETER OUT勝出，贏出HD。ARIEL獲得亞軍；LUCKY TOUCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門SPANGLE FORTUNE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NEVER PETER OUT 後段發力 V/TT 1.38.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 9.1 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | ARIEL B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.2 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 6.0 | HD |
| 4 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR 後段發力 H/PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SIGHT SUPREME 後段發力 B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 8.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | THESIS 後段發力 TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE 早段領放 B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 3.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | DAILY TROPHY B2/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HEALTHY GOLF XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 172.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 8 | 8.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT- H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 19.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | STARMEN H/P/TT2 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 13 | 118.0 | 24-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | SIKANDAR CP/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 159.0 | 24-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY TOUCH | 15.6% | 6.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | NEVER PETER OUT | 13.5% | 7.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT SUPREME | 12.8% | 7.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 8.2% | 12.25 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | THESIS | 6.7% | 14.91 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | ARIEL | 6.6% | 15.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR | 6.3% | 15.98 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | DAILY TROPHY | 5.6% | 17.99 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | STARMEN | 2.2% | 45.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 1.7% | 58.49 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | SIKANDAR | 0.5% | 190.31 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | HEALTHY GOLF | 0.5% | 195.26 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 91
PLACE
1 22.5
2 22.5
5 26.5
QUINELLA
1,5 265.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 78.5
1,5 86.5
2,5 77
FORECAST
5,1 523
TIERCE
5,1,2 3,177
TRIO
1,2,5 532
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 2,125
QUARTET
5,1,2,6 50,750
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/1,2,5 13,086
6TH DOUBLE
2/1 54
2/5 254
TRIPLE TRIO
10,11,12/2,7,11/1,2,5 3,449,676
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,11,12/2,7,11/Any Combination 32,282