沙田 · 2025-01-26 · 08:45
第 9場
2025-01-26沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米。由P N Wong策騎、D J Whyte訓練的FAST RESPONDER勝出，贏出1-3/4。CRIMSON FLASH獲得亞軍；SPARKLING FELLOW獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門SUPER FORTUNE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FAST RESPONDER SR 0.57.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 13 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CRIMSON FLASH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SPARKLING FELLOW Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | KNOW AT HEART M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | DREAM WINNER CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 9.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CARROLL STREET CP/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SKY CAP XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 117.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | AWESOME TREASURE TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GRAND NOVA E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 9.8 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 9 | SILK ROAD GLORY K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 24.2% | 4.14 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 21.8% | 4.59 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | GRAND NOVA | 10.4% | 9.63 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | CARROLL STREET | 8.4% | 11.95 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | CRIMSON FLASH | 8.0% | 12.51 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 6.7% | 14.84 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 4.8% | 20.67 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | KNOW AT HEART | 4.4% | 22.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | DREAM WINNER | 3.8% | 26.32 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | AWESOME TREASURE | 3.7% | 26.85 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | FAST RESPONDER | 3.0% | 33.86 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | SKY CAP | 0.8% | 122.61 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 128
PLACE
5 43.5
6 22
7 29.5
QUINELLA
5,7 805
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 155
5,7 271.5
6,7 82.5
FORECAST
5,7 1,529
TIERCE
5,7,6 5,255
TRIO
5,6,7 807
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 2,099
QUARTET
5,7,6,10 53,353
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/5,6,7 19,192
8TH DOUBLE
3/5 142.5
3/7 14