沙田 · 2025-01-26 · 09:55
第 11場
2025-01-26沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1650米。由A Badel策騎、C Fownes訓練的PERFECT TEAM勝出，贏出1/2。TALENTS AMBITION獲得亞軍；GLORIOUS SUCCESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門SUPER UNICORN跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 P-/TT 1.38.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION 後段發力 B/XB H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 14 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 6 | 6.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | M UNICORN 後段發力 P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR/V Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 13 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER UNICORN TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 80.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | FRANTANCK 早段領放 TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | CHING B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 11 | 35.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 9 | 41.0 | 18-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION | 20.6% | 4.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 15.6% | 6.42 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 13.7% | 7.31 | 7 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER UNICORN | 6.9% | 14.53 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | PERFECT TEAM | 6.6% | 15.25 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 5.9% | 16.87 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | M UNICORN | 5.7% | 17.46 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | MUST GO | 5.2% | 19.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | WINNING STEPS | 4.4% | 22.64 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 3.5% | 28.95 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | FRANTANCK | 3.1% | 31.97 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | CHING | 2.8% | 35.34 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | RED MAJESTY | 2.7% | 36.79 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 123
PLACE
1 19
8 33.5
9 26
QUINELLA
1,8 315.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 107.5
1,9 77
8,9 145.5
FORECAST
8,1 805
TIERCE
8,1,9 5,556
TRIO
1,8,9 827
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 1,748
QUARTET
8,1,9,4 42,572
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
6/1 22
6/8 247.5
2ND TREBLE
5/6/1 361
5/6/8 2,002
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6/1,8,9 159,582
SIX UP
2/5/3/5/6/8 45,318
2,7/1,5/3,7/5,7/5,6/1,8 2,102
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [D A Hayes] —