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Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 08:45

Race 9

Class 3 1000m Course A+3 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 3 over 1000m. FAST RESPONDER, ridden by P N Wong and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with CRIMSON FLASH second and SPARKLING FELLOW third. The 4.0 favourite SUPER FORTUNE finished 6th.

Result

Official · 0.57.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 FAST RESPONDER SR 0.57.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · D J Whyte 13 12.0 1-3/4
2 7 CRIMSON FLASH L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 7.9 1-3/4
3 6 SPARKLING FELLOW Z Purton · D J Hall 11 5.8 1-3/4
4 10 CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 8.1 2-1/2
5 12 KNOW AT HEART M Chadwick · W Y So 10 17.0 2-3/4
6 2 SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 8 4.0 3-1/4
7 1 DREAM WINNER CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 12 9.6 4-1/4
8 3 CARROLL STREET CP/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 2 23.0 4-1/4
9 13 SKY CAP XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes 9 117.0 4-1/2
10 8 CANDLELIGHT DINNER H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 6 22.0 5-1/4
11 4 AWESOME TREASURE TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 5 9.2 5-3/4
12 11 GRAND NOVA E A Atzeni · J Size 4 9.8 10-3/4
9 SILK ROAD GLORY K Teetan · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAST RESPONDER2. CRIMSON FLASH+1.75L3. SPARKLING FELLOW+1.75L4. CHEVAL VALIANT+2.5L5. KNOW AT HEART+2.75L6. SUPER FORTUNE+3.25L7. DREAM WINNER+4.25L8. CARROLL STREET+4.25L9. SKY CAP+4.5L10. CANDLELIGHT DINNER+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SPARKLING FELLOW (24.2%) finished 3rd — the winner FAST RESPONDER was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SPARKLING FELLOW 24.2% 4.14 3
2 2 SUPER FORTUNE 21.8% 4.59 6
3 11 GRAND NOVA 10.4% 9.63 12
4 3 CARROLL STREET 8.4% 11.95 8
5 7 CRIMSON FLASH 8.0% 12.51 2
6 10 CHEVAL VALIANT 6.7% 14.84 4
7 8 CANDLELIGHT DINNER 4.8% 20.67 10
8 12 KNOW AT HEART 4.4% 22.47 5
9 1 DREAM WINNER 3.8% 26.32 7
10 4 AWESOME TREASURE 3.7% 26.85 11
11 5 FAST RESPONDER 3.0% 33.86 1
12 13 SKY CAP 0.8% 122.61 9
SPARKLING FELLOWSUPER FORTUNEGRAND NOVACARROLL STREETCRIMSON FLASHCHEVAL VALIANTCANDLELIGHT DINNERKNOW AT HEARTDREAM WINNERAWESOME TREASUREFAST RESPONDER — wonSKY CAP

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 128

PLACE

5 43.5

6 22

7 29.5

QUINELLA

5,7 805

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 155

5,7 271.5

6,7 82.5

FORECAST

5,7 1,529

TIERCE

5,7,6 5,255

TRIO

5,6,7 807

FIRST 4

5,6,7,10 2,099

QUARTET

5,7,6,10 53,353

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,7/5,6,7 19,192

8TH DOUBLE

3/5 142.5

3/7 14