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Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 09:20

Race 10

Class 3 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 3 over 1200m. THE BOOM BOX, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with FRANCIS MEYNELL second and CHATEAUNEUF third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 THE BOOM BOX 1.09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 11 2.2 1/2
2 5 FRANCIS MEYNELL TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 14 105.0 1/2
3 3 CHATEAUNEUF B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 12 9.3 1/2
4 8 EXCELLENCE VALUE L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 251.0 1-3/4
5 7 CALL ME GORGEOUS A Pouchin · K W Lui 13 50.0 1-3/4
6 2 AERIS NOVA B-/XB/V1/TT H Bowman · T P Yung 6 22.0 2-1/4
7 13 KARATE EXPRESS L Hewitson · K W Lui 1 15.0 2-1/4
8 12 GIANT LEAP B M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 17.0 2-1/4
9 9 LIFELINE EXPRESS E K Teetan · J Size 7 2.9 2-1/2
10 11 ENDUED CP/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 3 18.0 3
11 10 MATTERS MOST TT H Bentley · C S Shum 4 102.0 4
12 14 SWAGGER BRO M L Yeung · D A Hayes 10 69.0 4-1/2
13 1 WONDERSTAR B Y L Chung · P C Ng 8 64.0 6-3/4
14 4 HONG KONG HALL CP1/TT P N Wong · D J Hall 5 70.0 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE BOOM BOX2. FRANCIS MEYNELL+0.5L3. CHATEAUNEUF+0.5L4. EXCELLENCE VALUE+1.75L5. CALL ME GORGEOUS+1.75L6. AERIS NOVA+2.25L7. KARATE EXPRESS+2.25L8. GIANT LEAP+2.25L9. LIFELINE EXPRESS+2.5L10. ENDUED+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick THE BOOM BOX (43.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 THE BOOM BOX 43.0% 2.32 1
2 9 LIFELINE EXPRESS 15.3% 6.52 9
3 3 CHATEAUNEUF 10.2% 9.80 3
4 13 KARATE EXPRESS 8.1% 12.33 7
5 2 AERIS NOVA 3.8% 26.14 6
6 5 FRANCIS MEYNELL 3.1% 32.16 2
7 14 SWAGGER BRO 2.7% 36.70 12
8 12 GIANT LEAP 2.7% 37.64 8
9 11 ENDUED 2.6% 38.21 10
10 7 CALL ME GORGEOUS 2.1% 48.31 5
11 1 WONDERSTAR 1.9% 51.94 13
12 4 HONG KONG HALL 1.7% 57.41 14
13 10 MATTERS MOST 1.7% 59.30 11
14 8 EXCELLENCE VALUE 0.9% 106.15 4
THE BOOM BOX — wonLIFELINE EXPRESSCHATEAUNEUFKARATE EXPRESSAERIS NOVAFRANCIS MEYNELLSWAGGER BROGIANT LEAPENDUEDCALL ME GORGEOUSWONDERSTARHONG KONG HALLMATTERS MOSTEXCELLENCE VALUE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 22

PLACE

3 28

5 169.5

6 11

QUINELLA

5,6 829.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 1,049.5

3,6 43

5,6 264

FORECAST

6,5 809

TIERCE

6,5,3 6,125

TRIO

3,5,6 2,182

FIRST 4

3,5,6,8 26,321

QUARTET

6,5,3,8 302,371

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

5/5 949.5

5/6 245.5