Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 05:35

Race 3

Class 2 1600m Course A+3 8 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 2 over 1600m. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with YELLOWFIN second and KARMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.34.64

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	4	SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H 1.34.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu	Z Purton	P F Yiu	1	121 lb	1.4	1-1/2
2	8	YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui	L Hewitson	K W Lui	7	118 lb	33.0	1-1/2
3	3	KARMA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes	C Y Ho	C Fownes	2	123 lb	7.0	1-1/2
4	7	FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB2/TT- K Teetan · D J Whyte	K Teetan	D J Whyte	4	118 lb	59.0	2-1/4
5	1	THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz	B Avdulla	A S Cruz	6	135 lb	33.0	2-1/2
6	2	WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang	M L Yeung	C W Chang	8	124 lb	44.0	2-3/4
7	6	VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor	K C Leung	F C Lor	3	120 lb	4.1	3-1/4
8	5	ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall	M F Poon	D J Hall	5	120 lb	26.0	6-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick SUNLIGHT POWER (46.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	4	SUNLIGHT POWER	46.6%	2.15	1	1.4
2	6	VOYAGE SAMURAI	22.6%	4.43	7	4.1
3	3	KARMA	18.4%	5.45	3	7.0
4	8	YELLOWFIN	3.9%	25.66	2	33.0
5	7	FLAMING RABBIT	2.5%	40.25	4	59.0
6	2	WOODFIRE BRO	2.3%	42.79	6	44.0
7	1	THE GOLDEN SCENERY	1.9%	52.43	5	33.0
8	5	ATULLIBIGEAL	1.9%	53.57	8	26.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 14.5

PLACE

3 15.5

4 10.1

8 40.5

QUINELLA

4,8 132

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 18

3,8 118

4,8 46

FORECAST

4,8 182

TIERCE

4,8,3 598

TRIO

3,4,8 165

FIRST 4

3,4,7,8 777

QUARTET

4,8,3,7 7,874

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

8,11,13/3,4,8 21,369

2ND DOUBLE

8/4 177.5

8/8 340

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