Sha Tin · 2025-01-26 · 12:32
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRECISION GOAL Closed strongly TT 1.39.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | YODA'S CHOICE Led early CP/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | YEABOI Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 8.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B-/V2/TT A Pouchin · C H Yip | A Pouchin | C H Yip | 5 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | COOL BLUE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 14 | 8.9 | 9-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 13 | 29.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SOLAR GOGO B A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 2 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SKY PROPHET TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CASA LEGEND P/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 7 | 41.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEED SWORD Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 1 | 24.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | AROMATICA PC1/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 8.7 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 18.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-26 was Class 5 over 1650m. PRECISION GOAL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/2, with YODA'S CHOICE second and YEABOI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite YODA'S CHOICE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YODA'S CHOICE | 19.5% | 5.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SONIC BOOM | 14.1% | 7.11 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | COOL BLUE | 9.0% | 11.17 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | SOLAR GOGO | 8.3% | 12.01 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | YEABOI | 7.8% | 12.80 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | PRECISION GOAL | 7.2% | 13.88 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | SKY PROPHET | 6.1% | 16.53 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 6.0% | 16.78 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | SPEED SWORD | 5.9% | 16.90 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | AROMATICA | 5.0% | 20.04 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.5% | 28.90 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.8% | 36.27 | 4 |
| 13 | 9 | CASA LEGEND | 2.6% | 38.54 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 2.4% | 41.25 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 116.5
PLACE
2 16
3 37
11 21.5
QUINELLA
2,3 178
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 74.5
2,11 52
3,11 82.5
FORECAST
3,2 480
TIERCE
3,2,11 1,535
TRIO
2,3,11 193
FIRST 4
2,3,10,11 1,807
QUARTET
3,2,11,10 41,374