沙田 · 2025-02-09 · 05:35
第 3場
2025-02-09沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的LA FORZA勝出，贏出2-1/2。ENJOY GOLF獲得亞軍；SUMMIT CHEERS獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門ENJOY GOLF跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LA FORZA CP-/B1/TT 0.56.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF B B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 10 | 2.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | JUMBO TREASURE TT1 C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | METRO WARRIOR B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PANDA B2/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | KING ALLOY A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 14 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | DO YOUR PART TT K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 11 | 80.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MACANESE MASTER B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 4 | 63.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | APPEALING CITY XB/CP1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 122.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 9 | KING VICTOR P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LA FORZA | 18.1% | 5.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | COUNTRY DANCER | 16.7% | 6.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 12.6% | 7.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | PANDA | 11.8% | 8.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 9.8% | 10.20 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | JUMBO TREASURE | 9.3% | 10.79 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 5.9% | 16.87 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | METRO WARRIOR | 4.7% | 21.41 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | KING ALLOY | 3.2% | 31.25 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | MACANESE MASTER | 2.8% | 36.03 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT | 2.5% | 39.51 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | DO YOUR PART | 1.9% | 51.64 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | APPEALING CITY | 0.7% | 140.57 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 73.5
PLACE
1 12.5
2 42
3 25.5
QUINELLA
1,3 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 102.5
1,3 45
2,3 171
FORECAST
3,1 271
TIERCE
3,1,2 1,768
TRIO
1,2,3 274
FIRST 4
1,2,3,14 305
QUARTET
3,1,2,14 7,210
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/2,3>1,9 8,743
2ND DOUBLE
9/1,9 41.5
9/3 459.5