沙田 · 2025-02-09 · 07:40
第 7場
2025-02-09沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、D Eustace訓練的LIGHT YEARS CHARM勝出，贏出2-1/4。JUNEAU PRIDE獲得亞軍；SUGAR BALL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM 後段發力 XB 1.21.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 13 | 2.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | JUNEAU PRIDE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SUGAR BALL 後段發力 CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 3 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | AERIS NOVA V/XB/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 6 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 100.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TIMES TABLE 後段發力 P B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 1 | 143.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | STORM RIDER 後段發力 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS 早段領放 B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 171.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY SR/V/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | NEVER TOO SOON M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 33.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | ILLUMINOUS B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 62.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 29.6% | 3.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 12.6% | 7.92 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 8.7% | 11.43 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | SUGAR BALL | 4.9% | 20.52 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | AERIS NOVA | 4.8% | 20.68 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY | 4.5% | 22.18 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 4.0% | 25.13 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.7% | 27.31 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | STORM RIDER | 3.2% | 31.28 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 3.0% | 33.60 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | ILLUMINOUS | 2.8% | 35.32 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.5% | 40.14 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | TIMES TABLE | 1.0% | 104.54 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 20
PLACE
7 11
9 38
12 16
QUINELLA
7,12 43.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 67
7,12 21
9,12 97
FORECAST
7,12 69
TIERCE
7,12,9 516
TRIO
7,9,12 188
FIRST 4
2,7,9,12 676
QUARTET
7,12,9,2 5,681
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/7,9,12 13,755
6TH DOUBLE
4/7 318
4/12 183.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,7/4,6,11/7,9,12 2,110,141
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,7/4,6,11/Any Combination 42,202