沙田 · 2025-02-09 · 06:40
第 5場
2025-02-09沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、C H Yip訓練的SUPER LOVE勝出，贏出1/2。DREAMING WINNER獲得亞軍；AUTUMN VIBES獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門AUTUMN VIBES跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER LOVE 1.09.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | DREAMING WINNER H1/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | AUTUMN VIBES TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GREAT STATE V/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 8 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | KA YING POWER H/SR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | KA YING RESILIENCE CP-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 152.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CASHISCASH CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 7 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | IRON FIGHTER B1/TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 74.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DRALA M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 172.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AUTUMN VIBES | 29.5% | 3.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 23.8% | 4.21 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 8.3% | 12.05 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | KA YING POWER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | GREAT STATE | 7.3% | 13.63 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | IRON FIGHTER | 6.7% | 14.96 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS | 5.5% | 18.32 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | DREAMING WINNER | 3.2% | 30.81 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER LOVE | 3.1% | 32.27 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | CASHISCASH | 2.8% | 35.76 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH | 1.4% | 71.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | DRALA | 0.6% | 170.45 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 174.5
PLACE
3 12
4 39.5
7 35.5
QUINELLA
4,7 927
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 70.5
3,7 58
4,7 246
FORECAST
7,4 1,922
TIERCE
7,4,3 5,851
TRIO
3,4,7 690
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 707
QUARTET
7,4,3,1 29,892
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
3/11/4 4,764
3/11/7 18,558
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,11,12/3,4,7 403,556
4TH DOUBLE
11/4 659
11/7 2,462