沙田 · 2025-02-09 · 06:10
第 4場
2025-02-09沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米。由M F Poon策騎、P C Ng訓練的GALE SAGA勝出，贏出1/2。LAKESHORE HERO獲得亞軍；POCHETTINO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門FUN TOGETHER跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GALE SAGA 後段發力 B 1.21.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | LAKESHORE HERO 後段發力 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | POCHETTINO 後段發力 P-/H/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | GOOD LUCK BABE 早段領放 XB/CP1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KA YING SUPERB 後段發力 H/XB M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 6.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS 後段發力 H-/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 3.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | OCEAN IMPACT TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING WROTE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY SR-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 6 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LITTLE SQUID 後段發力 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 68.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON V B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 9 | 118.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | VANTASTIC CHOICE P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LAKESHORE HERO | 13.2% | 7.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | KA YING SUPERB | 12.0% | 8.31 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING WROTE | 11.1% | 9.03 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | OCEAN IMPACT | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | GALE SAGA | 9.5% | 10.57 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 7.8% | 12.87 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 6.1% | 16.36 | 14 |
| 9 | 9 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 6.0% | 16.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 5.8% | 17.31 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 3.0% | 33.61 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | POCHETTINO | 2.2% | 45.43 | 3 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 1.8% | 57.13 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | LITTLE SQUID | 1.4% | 72.50 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 102.5
PLACE
7 38
11 36
12 23
QUINELLA
7,11 821
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 230
7,12 170.5
11,12 124
FORECAST
11,7 1,633
TIERCE
11,7,12 9,933
TRIO
7,11,12 1,573
FIRST 4
4,7,11,12 3,919
QUARTET
11,7,12,4 83,638
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
3/7 112.5
3/11 843