Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 14:06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GALE SAGA Closed strongly B 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | LAKESHORE HERO Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | POCHETTINO Closed strongly P-/H/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | GOOD LUCK BABE Led early XB/CP1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly H/XB M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 6.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS Closed strongly H-/P/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 3.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | OCEAN IMPACT TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING WROTE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY SR-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 6 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LITTLE SQUID Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 68.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON V B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 9 | 118.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | VANTASTIC CHOICE P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 4 over 1400m. GALE SAGA, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with LAKESHORE HERO second and POCHETTINO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite FUN TOGETHER finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LAKESHORE HERO | 13.2% | 7.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | KA YING SUPERB | 12.0% | 8.31 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING WROTE | 11.1% | 9.03 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | OCEAN IMPACT | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | GALE SAGA | 9.5% | 10.57 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 7.8% | 12.87 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 6.1% | 16.36 | 14 |
| 9 | 9 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 6.0% | 16.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 5.8% | 17.31 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 3.0% | 33.61 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | POCHETTINO | 2.2% | 45.43 | 3 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 1.8% | 57.13 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | LITTLE SQUID | 1.4% | 72.50 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 102.5
PLACE
7 38
11 36
12 23
QUINELLA
7,11 821
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 230
7,12 170.5
11,12 124
FORECAST
11,7 1,633
TIERCE
11,7,12 9,933
TRIO
7,11,12 1,573
FIRST 4
4,7,11,12 3,919
QUARTET
11,7,12,4 83,638
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/7 112.5
3/11 843