Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 04:35
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 5 over 1400m. SPECIAL HEDGE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with FIGHT TIME second and REGENCY HAPPY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite REGENCY HAPPY STAR finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly V/TT 1.22.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 20.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B-/V1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 6.8 | N |
| 3 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Led early XB/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 7 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM Closed strongly H-/B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 14 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | LAPRAS TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 123.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 102.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | IVICTORIAM TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 4 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | THE KHAN SR-/B1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY MAN BO/H Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING TURN Closed strongly PC/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 11 | 64.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | JOYFUL LIFE TT- E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GO HERO B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 49.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY MAN | 24.0% | 4.17 | 11 |
| 2 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 18.8% | 5.32 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | JOYFUL LIFE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 13 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FIGHT TIME | 7.8% | 12.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | THE KHAN | 5.5% | 18.11 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | IVICTORIAM | 4.0% | 24.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | GO HERO | 3.8% | 26.00 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | LAPRAS | 3.6% | 28.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SO AWESOME | 3.5% | 28.41 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.0% | 33.01 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING TURN | 2.2% | 45.83 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.1% | 46.99 | 7 |
| 14 | 9 | GANGNAM STAR | 1.6% | 60.70 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 207
PLACE
2 21
6 51
13 13
QUINELLA
2,6 671.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 197
2,13 41.5
6,13 100.5
FORECAST
6,2 1,609
TIERCE
6,2,13 5,512
TRIO
2,6,13 546
FIRST 4
2,6,7,13 1,590
QUARTET
6,2,13,7 54,777