Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 12:31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly V/TT 1.22.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 20.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B-/V1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 6.8 | N |
| 3 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Led early XB/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 7 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM Closed strongly H-/B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 14 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | LAPRAS TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 123.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 102.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | IVICTORIAM TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 4 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | THE KHAN SR-/B1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY MAN BO/H Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING TURN Closed strongly PC/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 11 | 64.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | JOYFUL LIFE TT- E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GO HERO B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 49.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 5 over 1400m. SPECIAL HEDGE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with FIGHT TIME second and REGENCY HAPPY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite REGENCY HAPPY STAR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY MAN | 24.0% | 4.17 | 11 |
| 2 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 18.8% | 5.32 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | JOYFUL LIFE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 13 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FIGHT TIME | 7.8% | 12.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | THE KHAN | 5.5% | 18.11 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | IVICTORIAM | 4.0% | 24.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | GO HERO | 3.8% | 26.00 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | LAPRAS | 3.6% | 28.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SO AWESOME | 3.5% | 28.41 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.0% | 33.01 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING TURN | 2.2% | 45.83 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.1% | 46.99 | 7 |
| 14 | 9 | GANGNAM STAR | 1.6% | 60.70 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 207
PLACE
2 21
6 51
13 13
QUINELLA
2,6 671.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 197
2,13 41.5
6,13 100.5
FORECAST
6,2 1,609
TIERCE
6,2,13 5,512
TRIO
2,6,13 546
FIRST 4
2,6,7,13 1,590
QUARTET
6,2,13,7 54,777