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Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 10:00

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 3 over 1400m. WINNING GOLD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with SKY TRUST second and POWER KOEPP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SKY TRUST finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT 1.21.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So 3 10.0 SH
2 2 SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 1 2.0
3 14 POWER KOEPP B/E M Chadwick · K L Man 7 119.0 2-1/4
4 7 MORGAN SUCCESS Closed strongly XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 5 26.0 2-1/4
5 8 SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall 13 13.0 2-3/4
6 4 STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 6 11.0 3-3/4
7 3 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE Closed strongly H B Thompson · J Size 14 4.8 5
8 12 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz 8 9.9 5
9 10 TEST FOR LOVE Closed strongly XB1 K De Melo · K W Lui 10 47.0 6-1/4
10 13 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly B1 M F Poon · M Newnham 9 27.0 8
11 11 LOST CHILD H T Mo · C W Chang 11 71.0 8
12 1 KEEFY L Ferraris · F C Lor 4 53.0 8-1/4
13 9 MR VIGOR TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum 2 122.0 18
14 6 EQUATORIAL H/SR/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 12 58.0 29

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING GOLD3. POWER KOEPP+2.25L4. MORGAN SUCCESS+2.25L5. SOLID IMPACT+2.75L6. STORMING DRAGON+3.75L7. MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE+5L8. BEAUTY GLORY+5L9. TEST FOR LOVE+6.25L10. CASA ROCHESTER+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE (28.9%) finished 7th — the winner WINNING GOLD was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE 28.9% 3.46 7
2 2 SKY TRUST 25.1% 3.99 2
3 4 STORMING DRAGON 6.9% 14.58 6
4 12 BEAUTY GLORY 5.8% 17.35 8
5 8 SOLID IMPACT 5.6% 17.75 5
6 5 WINNING GOLD 5.3% 18.78 1
7 13 CASA ROCHESTER 4.0% 25.23 10
8 11 LOST CHILD 3.4% 29.58 11
9 1 KEEFY 3.3% 30.58 12
10 7 MORGAN SUCCESS 3.0% 33.78 4
11 9 MR VIGOR 2.8% 35.48 13
12 10 TEST FOR LOVE 2.2% 45.03 9
13 14 POWER KOEPP 2.2% 45.64 3
14 6 EQUATORIAL 1.7% 60.00 14
MASTEROFMYUNIVERSESKY TRUSTSTORMING DRAGONBEAUTY GLORYSOLID IMPACTWINNING GOLD — wonCASA ROCHESTERLOST CHILDKEEFYMORGAN SUCCESSMR VIGORTEST FOR LOVEPOWER KOEPPEQUATORIAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 108.5

PLACE

2 11

5 29.5

14 195

QUINELLA

2,5 113.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 42.5

2,14 335.5

5,14 935

FORECAST

5,2 338

TIERCE

5,2,14 15,557

TRIO

2,5,14 2,836

FIRST 4

2,5,7,14 10,004

QUARTET

5,2,14,7 351,201

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

12/2 109

12/5 2,119

2ND TREBLE

3/12/2 1,029

3/12/5 21,309

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,11,12/2,5,14 96,029

SIX UP

4/7/4/3/12/5 3,353,154

4,11/7,12/4,6/3,7/4,12/2,5 5,771

2 [F C Lor]

1 [Z Purton]