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Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 17:58

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT 1.21.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So 3 10.0 SH
2 2 SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 1 2.0 —
3 14 POWER KOEPP B/E M Chadwick · K L Man 7 119.0 2-1/4
4 7 MORGAN SUCCESS Closed strongly XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 5 26.0 2-1/4
5 8 SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall 13 13.0 2-3/4
6 4 STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 6 11.0 3-3/4
7 3 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE Closed strongly H B Thompson · J Size 14 4.8 5
8 12 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz 8 9.9 5
9 10 TEST FOR LOVE Closed strongly XB1 K De Melo · K W Lui 10 47.0 6-1/4
10 13 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly B1 M F Poon · M Newnham 9 27.0 8
11 11 LOST CHILD H T Mo · C W Chang 11 71.0 8
12 1 KEEFY L Ferraris · F C Lor 4 53.0 8-1/4
13 9 MR VIGOR TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum 2 122.0 18
14 6 EQUATORIAL H/SR/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 12 58.0 29

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 3 over 1400m. WINNING GOLD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with SKY TRUST second and POWER KOEPP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SKY TRUST finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING GOLD—3. POWER KOEPP+2.25L4. MORGAN SUCCESS+2.25L5. SOLID IMPACT+2.75L6. STORMING DRAGON+3.75L7. MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE+5L8. BEAUTY GLORY+5L9. TEST FOR LOVE+6.25L10. CASA ROCHESTER+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE (28.9%) finished 7th — the winner WINNING GOLD was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE 28.9% 3.46 7
2 2 SKY TRUST 25.1% 3.99 2
3 4 STORMING DRAGON 6.9% 14.58 6
4 12 BEAUTY GLORY 5.8% 17.35 8
5 8 SOLID IMPACT 5.6% 17.75 5
6 5 WINNING GOLD 5.3% 18.78 1
7 13 CASA ROCHESTER 4.0% 25.23 10
8 11 LOST CHILD 3.4% 29.58 11
9 1 KEEFY 3.3% 30.58 12
10 7 MORGAN SUCCESS 3.0% 33.78 4
11 9 MR VIGOR 2.8% 35.48 13
12 10 TEST FOR LOVE 2.2% 45.03 9
13 14 POWER KOEPP 2.2% 45.64 3
14 6 EQUATORIAL 1.7% 60.00 14
MASTEROFMYUNIVERSESKY TRUSTSTORMING DRAGONBEAUTY GLORYSOLID IMPACTWINNING GOLD — wonCASA ROCHESTERLOST CHILDKEEFYMORGAN SUCCESSMR VIGORTEST FOR LOVEPOWER KOEPPEQUATORIAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 108.5

PLACE

2 11

5 29.5

14 195

QUINELLA

2,5 113.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 42.5

2,14 335.5

5,14 935

FORECAST

5,2 338

TIERCE

5,2,14 15,557

TRIO

2,5,14 2,836

FIRST 4

2,5,7,14 10,004

QUARTET

5,2,14,7 351,201

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

12/2 109

12/5 2,119

2ND TREBLE

3/12/2 1,029

3/12/5 21,309

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,11,12/2,5,14 96,029

SIX UP

4/7/4/3/12/5 3,353,154

4,11/7,12/4,6/3,7/4,12/2,5 5,771

2 [F C Lor] —

1 [Z Purton] —