Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 05:35
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 4 over 1000m. LA FORZA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 2-1/2, with ENJOY GOLF second and SUMMIT CHEERS third. The 2.6 favourite ENJOY GOLF finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LA FORZA CP-/B1/TT 0.56.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF B B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 10 | 2.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | JUMBO TREASURE TT1 C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | METRO WARRIOR B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PANDA B2/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | KING ALLOY A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 14 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | DO YOUR PART TT K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 11 | 80.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MACANESE MASTER B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 4 | 63.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | APPEALING CITY XB/CP1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 122.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 9 | KING VICTOR P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LA FORZA | 18.1% | 5.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | COUNTRY DANCER | 16.7% | 6.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 12.6% | 7.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | PANDA | 11.8% | 8.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 9.8% | 10.20 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | JUMBO TREASURE | 9.3% | 10.79 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 5.9% | 16.87 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | METRO WARRIOR | 4.7% | 21.41 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | KING ALLOY | 3.2% | 31.25 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | MACANESE MASTER | 2.8% | 36.03 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT | 2.5% | 39.51 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | DO YOUR PART | 1.9% | 51.64 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | APPEALING CITY | 0.7% | 140.57 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 73.5
PLACE
1 12.5
2 42
3 25.5
QUINELLA
1,3 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 102.5
1,3 45
2,3 171
FORECAST
3,1 271
TIERCE
3,1,2 1,768
TRIO
1,2,3 274
FIRST 4
1,2,3,14 305
QUARTET
3,1,2,14 7,210
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/2,3>1,9 8,743
2ND DOUBLE
9/1,9 41.5
9/3 459.5