Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 09:25
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 3 over 1200m. RIGHTEOUS ARION, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with HONG LOK GOLF second and BLAZING WIND third. The 2.2 favourite HONG LOK GOLF finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT 1.09.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | HONG LOK GOLF TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 2.2 | N |
| 3 | 11 | BLAZING WIND CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT MORE B K De Melo · F C Lor | K De Melo | F C Lor | 8 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | AURIO SR1/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | BRIGHT DAY CP H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 80.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | REZEKI K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 63.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ALSONSO CP- M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 11 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CALL ME GORGEOUS M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | EVERSTAR B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 97.0 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HONG LOK GOLF | 33.9% | 2.95 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 16.3% | 6.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | BLAZING WIND | 13.2% | 7.57 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 12.2% | 8.17 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | ALSONSO | 5.1% | 19.43 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 4.3% | 23.44 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | AURIO | 3.9% | 25.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.7% | 37.55 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | CALL ME GORGEOUS | 2.6% | 38.14 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | REZEKI | 2.5% | 40.16 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | EVERSTAR | 1.9% | 51.51 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | BRIGHT DAY | 1.3% | 74.83 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 128.5
PLACE
4 13
11 23
12 27.5
QUINELLA
4,12 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 41
4,12 57
11,12 135.5
FORECAST
12,4 493
TIERCE
12,4,11 2,822
TRIO
4,11,12 368
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 324
QUARTET
12,4,11,3 11,019
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
3/4 26
3/12 1,319.5