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Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 16:43

Race 9

Class 3 1800m Course C 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.46.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz 10 6.9 3/4
2 7 PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo 11 22.0 3/4
3 11 PACKING TURBINE TT M F Poon · P C Ng 4 13.0 1-1/2
4 12 MIDORI GIANT Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 12 26.0 3-1/4
5 4 LO RIDER Closed strongly TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes 9 6.3 5-1/4
6 13 PRESTIGE GOOD B/TT B Thompson · P F Yiu 5 36.0 6
7 6 CHING Closed strongly C L Chau · C W Chang 14 107.0 6
8 9 ENTHRALLED A Hamelin · J Size 3 19.0 7-1/4
9 10 FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 41.0 11-3/4
10 1 ALLCASH Closed strongly CP1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 7 160.0 12
— 2 STAR CONTACT B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 36.0 —
— 5 LUPO SOLITARIO Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · F C Lor 8 38.0 —
— 8 SILVERY BREEZE B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace 2 2.3 —
— 14 LEGEND ST PAUL'S Closed strongly CP/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 1 6.5 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 3 over 1800m. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with PRAY FOR MIR second and PACKING TURBINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SILVERY BREEZE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALIFORNIATOTALITY—2. PRAY FOR MIR+0.75L3. PACKING TURBINE+1.5L4. MIDORI GIANT+3.25L5. LO RIDER+5.25L6. PRESTIGE GOOD+6L7. CHING+6L8. ENTHRALLED+7.25L9. FORTUNATE SON+11.75L10. ALLCASH+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CALIFORNIATOTALITY (33.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 33.1% 3.02 1
2 4 LO RIDER 17.4% 5.73 5
3 7 PRAY FOR MIR 15.4% 6.48 2
4 11 PACKING TURBINE 7.5% 13.26 3
5 12 MIDORI GIANT 6.7% 15.04 4
6 6 CHING 5.1% 19.50 7
7 10 FORTUNATE SON 4.5% 22.25 9
8 9 ENTHRALLED 3.9% 25.57 8
9 13 PRESTIGE GOOD 3.6% 27.51 6
10 1 ALLCASH 2.7% 37.68 10
CALIFORNIATOTALITY — wonLO RIDERPRAY FOR MIRPACKING TURBINEMIDORI GIANTCHINGFORTUNATE SONENTHRALLEDPRESTIGE GOODALLCASH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 69

PLACE

3 20

7 47

11 37

QUINELLA

3,7 390.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 115.5

3,11 144

7,11 415.5

FORECAST

3,7 626

TIERCE

3,7,11 10,232

TRIO

3,7,11 1,745

FIRST 4

3,7,11,12 10,531

QUARTET

3,7,11,12 137,226

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,6/3,7,11 134,087

8TH DOUBLE

4/3 571.5

4/7 206.5