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Sha Tin · 2025-02-09 · 08:45

Race 9

Class 3 1800m Course C 10 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-09 was Class 3 over 1800m. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with PRAY FOR MIR second and PACKING TURBINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SILVERY BREEZE did not finish.

Result

Official · 1.46.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.46.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz 10 6.9 3/4
2 7 PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo 11 22.0 3/4
3 11 PACKING TURBINE TT M F Poon · P C Ng 4 13.0 1-1/2
4 12 MIDORI GIANT Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 12 26.0 3-1/4
5 4 LO RIDER Closed strongly TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes 9 6.3 5-1/4
6 13 PRESTIGE GOOD B/TT B Thompson · P F Yiu 5 36.0 6
7 6 CHING Closed strongly C L Chau · C W Chang 14 107.0 6
8 9 ENTHRALLED A Hamelin · J Size 3 19.0 7-1/4
9 10 FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 41.0 11-3/4
10 1 ALLCASH Closed strongly CP1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 7 160.0 12
2 STAR CONTACT B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 36.0
5 LUPO SOLITARIO Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · F C Lor 8 38.0
8 SILVERY BREEZE B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace 2 2.3
14 LEGEND ST PAUL'S Closed strongly CP/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 1 6.5

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALIFORNIATOTALITY2. PRAY FOR MIR+0.75L3. PACKING TURBINE+1.5L4. MIDORI GIANT+3.25L5. LO RIDER+5.25L6. PRESTIGE GOOD+6L7. CHING+6L8. ENTHRALLED+7.25L9. FORTUNATE SON+11.75L10. ALLCASH+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CALIFORNIATOTALITY (33.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 33.1% 3.02 1
2 4 LO RIDER 17.4% 5.73 5
3 7 PRAY FOR MIR 15.4% 6.48 2
4 11 PACKING TURBINE 7.5% 13.26 3
5 12 MIDORI GIANT 6.7% 15.04 4
6 6 CHING 5.1% 19.50 7
7 10 FORTUNATE SON 4.5% 22.25 9
8 9 ENTHRALLED 3.9% 25.57 8
9 13 PRESTIGE GOOD 3.6% 27.51 6
10 1 ALLCASH 2.7% 37.68 10
CALIFORNIATOTALITY — wonLO RIDERPRAY FOR MIRPACKING TURBINEMIDORI GIANTCHINGFORTUNATE SONENTHRALLEDPRESTIGE GOODALLCASH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 69

PLACE

3 20

7 47

11 37

QUINELLA

3,7 390.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 115.5

3,11 144

7,11 415.5

FORECAST

3,7 626

TIERCE

3,7,11 10,232

TRIO

3,7,11 1,745

FIRST 4

3,7,11,12 10,531

QUARTET

3,7,11,12 137,226

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,6/3,7,11 134,087

8TH DOUBLE

4/3 571.5

4/7 206.5