沙田 · 2025-02-09 · 10:00
第 11場
2025-02-09沙田第11場,Class 3,途程1400米。由K Teetan策騎、W Y So訓練的WINNING GOLD勝出,贏出SH。SKY TRUST獲得亞軍;POWER KOEPP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門SKY TRUST跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING GOLD 後段發力 TT 1.21.55 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | SKY TRUST 後段發力 H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| 3 | 14 | POWER KOEPP B/E M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 119.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MORGAN SUCCESS 後段發力 XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SOLID IMPACT 後段發力 CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 13 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE 後段發力 H B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 14 | 4.8 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY 早段領放 CP/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.9 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | TEST FOR LOVE 後段發力 XB1 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 47.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | CASA ROCHESTER 後段發力 B1 M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 9 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | LOST CHILD H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 71.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | KEEFY L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 53.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | MR VIGOR TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 122.0 | 18 |
| 14 | 6 | EQUATORIAL H/SR/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 12 | 58.0 | 29 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 28.9% | 3.46 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | SKY TRUST | 25.1% | 3.99 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON | 6.9% | 14.58 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.8% | 17.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | SOLID IMPACT | 5.6% | 17.75 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | WINNING GOLD | 5.3% | 18.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 13 | CASA ROCHESTER | 4.0% | 25.23 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | LOST CHILD | 3.4% | 29.58 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | KEEFY | 3.3% | 30.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 3.0% | 33.78 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | MR VIGOR | 2.8% | 35.48 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | TEST FOR LOVE | 2.2% | 45.03 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | POWER KOEPP | 2.2% | 45.64 | 3 |
| 14 | 6 | EQUATORIAL | 1.7% | 60.00 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 108.5
PLACE
2 11
5 29.5
14 195
QUINELLA
2,5 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 42.5
2,14 335.5
5,14 935
FORECAST
5,2 338
TIERCE
5,2,14 15,557
TRIO
2,5,14 2,836
FIRST 4
2,5,7,14 10,004
QUARTET
5,2,14,7 351,201
全部彩池(另 4 項)
10TH DOUBLE
12/2 109
12/5 2,119
2ND TREBLE
3/12/2 1,029
3/12/5 21,309
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,11,12/2,5,14 96,029
SIX UP
4/7/4/3/12/5 3,353,154
4,11/7,12/4,6/3,7/4,12/2,5 5,771
2 [F C Lor] —
1 [Z Purton] —