沙田 · 2025-02-16 · 09:50
第 11場
2025-02-16沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1600米。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY HEART勝出，贏出N。WINNING WING獲得亞軍；ANOTHER WORLD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門BUNDLE AWARD跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SKY HEART 後段發力 B2/TT 1.33.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 7.1 | N |
| 2 | 14 | WINNING WING 後段發力 TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 12 | 28.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | ANOTHER WORLD CP A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 7 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | EMBRACES 後段發力 TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 13 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BUNDLE AWARD E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | EXCELLENCE VALUE B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | BEAUTY VIVA 後段發力 T Marquand · P C Ng | T Marquand | P C Ng | 4 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | DRAGON JOY SR/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 9.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS 早段領放 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | EVERYONE'S STAR 後段發力 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | MORGAN SUCCESS XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SPANISH FLAME K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 104.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | ALLCASH CP/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 247.0 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUNDLE AWARD | 21.6% | 4.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON JOY | 18.9% | 5.29 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY HEART | 12.2% | 8.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | ANOTHER WORLD | 10.7% | 9.36 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | EMBRACES | 9.3% | 10.73 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 5.0% | 19.84 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 4.7% | 21.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | WINNING WING | 4.6% | 21.90 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 4.4% | 22.98 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAUTY VIVA | 2.1% | 46.59 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | THE BEST PEACH | 2.1% | 46.99 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 2.1% | 48.19 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | SPANISH FLAME | 1.4% | 69.13 | 12 |
| 14 | 1 | ALLCASH | 0.9% | 115.22 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 71.5
PLACE
7 24.5
13 21.5
14 75.5
QUINELLA
7,14 1,336.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,13 80
7,14 367
13,14 279.5
FORECAST
7,14 1,786
TIERCE
7,14,13 13,679
TRIO
7,13,14 2,287
FIRST 4
6,7,13,14 4,322
QUARTET
7,14,13,6 116,466
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
4/7 647.5
4/14 234
2ND TREBLE
2/4/7 4,842
2/4/14 3,196
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/7,13,14 127,178
SIX UP
4,5/4,5/11,12/2,14/4,12/7,14 138,554
5/4/11/2/4/7 2,937,330
1 [B Avdulla] —
10 [K W Lui] —