沙田 · 2025-02-16 · 08:15
第 8場
2025-02-16沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1600米。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的JOHANNES BRAHMS勝出，贏出SH。SPEED DRAGON獲得亞軍；SUNLIGHT POWER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門MID WINTER WIND跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | JOHANNES BRAHMS 後段發力 1.33.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | SPEED DRAGON 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | SUNLIGHT POWER 後段發力 CP/H H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | VOYAGE SAMURAI 早段領放 CP-/B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MID WINTER WIND 後段發力 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | KARMA TT T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 3 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 13 | 65.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | WOODFIRE BRO TT- B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 76.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | C P BRAVE 後段發力 V H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MICKLEY 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | ROMANTIC THOR B-/XB-/TT- H Doyle · C S Shum | H Doyle | C S Shum | 8 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 11 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | MONEY CATCHER B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MID WINTER WIND | 30.0% | 3.34 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 11.6% | 8.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 9.7% | 10.34 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | FLAMING RABBIT | 8.1% | 12.40 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | KARMA | 7.9% | 12.70 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | MICKLEY | 7.0% | 14.37 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 4.7% | 21.43 | 1 |
| 8 | 14 | ROMANTIC THOR | 4.4% | 22.99 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SPEED DRAGON | 3.7% | 27.16 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | MONEY CATCHER | 3.4% | 29.11 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.0% | 33.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 2.6% | 38.28 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 2.6% | 38.92 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | WOODFIRE BRO | 1.5% | 66.06 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 81.5
PLACE
2 17.5
11 28
12 37
QUINELLA
11,12 494
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 69.5
2,12 102.5
11,12 155.5
FORECAST
11,12 1,056
TIERCE
11,12,2 5,465
TRIO
2,11,12 906
FIRST 4
2,10,11,12 1,824
QUARTET
11,12,2,10 52,392
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
4/11 836
4/12 157