沙田 · 2025-02-16 · 05:35
第 3場
2025-02-16沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、D J Hall訓練的MAGNIFIQUE勝出，贏出1-1/2。LUCKY SYMPHONY獲得亞軍；DRAGON FOUR SEAS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAGNIFIQUE 1.08.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 2.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | LUCKY SYMPHONY H/P/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 5 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 12 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | PATCH OF TIME H- K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | THE HEIR TT- E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 9.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING GALAXY L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | DRAGON SUNRISE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 3 | 128.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | BOMBUS TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 45.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 94.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | MULTISUPER B/TT T Marquand · T P Yung | T Marquand | T P Yung | 2 | 38.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | COMMANDING MISSILE M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 27.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 3.4 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAGNIFIQUE | 44.9% | 2.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | PATCH OF TIME | 9.1% | 10.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | THE HEIR | 7.8% | 12.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP | 7.7% | 13.01 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | BOMBUS | 4.5% | 22.00 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 3.6% | 27.89 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 3.1% | 31.96 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING GALAXY | 2.7% | 36.36 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | MULTISUPER | 2.5% | 39.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 1.4% | 73.71 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 1.3% | 76.80 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 29.5
PLACE
1 14
7 18
10 35.5
QUINELLA
1,10 328.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 36.5
1,10 106.5
7,10 117
FORECAST
1,10 424
TIERCE
1,10,7 2,259
TRIO
1,7,10 469
FIRST 4
1,4,7,10 488
QUARTET
1,10,7,4 9,296
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/1,7,10 9,631
2ND DOUBLE
11/1 1,091.5
11/10 389.5