沙田 · 2025-02-16 · 07:05
第 6場
2025-02-16沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1800米。由H Doyle策騎、K H Ting訓練的BILLIONAIRE SECRET勝出，贏出SH。VOLCANIC SPARK獲得亞軍；BEAUTY ALLIANCE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.9倍大熱門SOARING BRONCO跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET 後段發力 B/H/XB 1.46.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Doyle · K H Ting | H Doyle | K H Ting | 10 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.2 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE 後段發力 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HAKKA RADIANCE 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 14 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ME TIME 後段發力 CP/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | CHATER GOLD CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | TOY SOLTERO H/SR B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 9 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | SOARING BRONCO PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 5.9 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY HERO B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 2 | 15.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | CERVIN TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 8.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | DEVILDOM 早段領放 CP1 K De Melo · T P Yung | K De Melo | T P Yung | 13 | 50.0 | 31-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 12.0% | 8.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | ME TIME | 11.6% | 8.60 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | CERVIN | 10.9% | 9.16 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 10.1% | 9.88 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | SOARING BRONCO | 8.7% | 11.47 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | CHATER GOLD | 7.0% | 14.35 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 6.9% | 14.54 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 6.4% | 15.62 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 5.7% | 17.40 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 5.3% | 18.77 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY HERO | 4.3% | 23.31 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | DEVILDOM | 2.6% | 37.97 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | TOY SOLTERO | 2.4% | 41.22 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 132
PLACE
2 24.5
4 22.5
5 43
QUINELLA
4,5 335.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 74
2,5 166
4,5 118.5
FORECAST
5,4 682
TIERCE
5,4,2 2,364
TRIO
2,4,5 353
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 3,834
QUARTET
5,4,2,11 81,730
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 26
2/5 298.5