沙田 · 2025-02-16 · 08:40
第 9場
2025-02-16沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的HORSEPOWER勝出，贏出3/4。AURORA PATCH獲得亞軍；SUPER FORTUNE獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門MAJESTIC EXPRESS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HORSEPOWER XB/TT 0.56.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | AURORA PATCH V M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 2 | 68.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SPARKLING FELLOW A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | COLOURFUL KING TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 8 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CRIMSON FLASH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 13 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | KNOW AT HEART K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 11 | 64.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | LEGENDARY IMPACT TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 155.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H H Doyle · Y S Tsui | H Doyle | Y S Tsui | 14 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | FAST RESPONDER SR P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SAL B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 151.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | VON BAER E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 309.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 16.6% | 6.03 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | HORSEPOWER | 14.4% | 6.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | CRIMSON FLASH | 12.4% | 8.07 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | COLOURFUL KING | 10.8% | 9.25 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | FAST RESPONDER | 10.0% | 10.01 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 9.2% | 10.83 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 6.5% | 15.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | KNOW AT HEART | 4.3% | 23.05 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 4.0% | 24.97 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 3.9% | 25.84 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SWEET BRIAR | 3.2% | 31.38 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | AURORA PATCH | 2.0% | 51.15 | 2 |
| 13 | 10 | SAL | 1.7% | 58.73 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | VON BAER | 1.1% | 94.52 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 88
PLACE
2 26
3 47.5
14 124.5
QUINELLA
2,14 1,922
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 201
2,14 465.5
3,14 1,064
FORECAST
2,14 3,832
TIERCE
2,14,3 46,460
TRIO
2,3,14 9,463
FIRST 4
2,3,6,14 36,029
QUARTET
2,14,3,6 566,488
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,12/2,3,14 1,372,274
8TH DOUBLE
11/2 733.5
11/14 992.5