Sha Tin · 2025-02-16 · 16:07
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly 1.33.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early CP-/B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MID WINTER WIND Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | KARMA TT T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 3 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 13 | 65.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | WOODFIRE BRO TT- B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 76.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly V H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MICKLEY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | ROMANTIC THOR B-/XB-/TT- H Doyle · C S Shum | H Doyle | C S Shum | 8 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 11 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | MONEY CATCHER B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-16 was Class 2 over 1600m. JOHANNES BRAHMS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with SPEED DRAGON second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite MID WINTER WIND finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MID WINTER WIND | 30.0% | 3.34 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 11.6% | 8.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 9.7% | 10.34 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | FLAMING RABBIT | 8.1% | 12.40 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | KARMA | 7.9% | 12.70 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | MICKLEY | 7.0% | 14.37 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 4.7% | 21.43 | 1 |
| 8 | 14 | ROMANTIC THOR | 4.4% | 22.99 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SPEED DRAGON | 3.7% | 27.16 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | MONEY CATCHER | 3.4% | 29.11 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.0% | 33.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 2.6% | 38.28 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 2.6% | 38.92 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | WOODFIRE BRO | 1.5% | 66.06 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 81.5
PLACE
2 17.5
11 28
12 37
QUINELLA
11,12 494
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 69.5
2,12 102.5
11,12 155.5
FORECAST
11,12 1,056
TIERCE
11,12,2 5,465
TRIO
2,11,12 906
FIRST 4
2,10,11,12 1,824
QUARTET
11,12,2,10 52,392
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/11 836
4/12 157