Sha Tin · 2025-02-16 · 04:35
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-16 was Class 5 over 1600m. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with IVICTORIAM second and CASA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite PODIUM finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | IVICTORIAM Closed strongly TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 10 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly V A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PODIUM TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 7 | 3.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ON THE LASH PC/XB/TT- A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | FIRE BALL CP K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 8.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MULTIDARLING Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 9 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 8.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FRUITY WARRIOR Led early TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | LITTLE FAIRY B/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING SEVEN B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 5 | 28.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PODIUM | 17.5% | 5.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 13.6% | 7.35 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | LITTLE FAIRY | 9.0% | 11.07 | 13 |
| 4 | 7 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 8.8% | 11.38 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | GALLANT CROWN | 8.5% | 11.77 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLD TACK | 6.2% | 16.15 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | ON THE LASH | 6.0% | 16.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 6.0% | 16.60 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | FIRE BALL | 6.0% | 16.70 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | LEATHER MASTER | 4.7% | 21.20 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING SEVEN | 4.7% | 21.49 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 3.6% | 27.98 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 3.4% | 29.31 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | IVICTORIAM | 2.0% | 49.51 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 87.5
PLACE
2 31
8 61
10 67
QUINELLA
2,8 796
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 276.5
2,10 362
8,10 647
FORECAST
2,8 1,664
TIERCE
2,8,10 30,371
TRIO
2,8,10 6,661
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 37,970
QUARTET
2,8,10,11 979,624