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Sha Tin · 2025-02-16 · 06:35

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-16 was Class 4 over 1400m. MASTER OF ALL, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with KINGLY DEMEANOR second and DRACO third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 MASTER OF ALL Wire to wire B/TT 1.21.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So 1 2.5 SH
2 14 KINGLY DEMEANOR TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 8 19.0 SH
3 10 DRACO Closed strongly CP/TT H Doyle · P F Yiu 2 7.3 2
4 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 9 5.5 2
5 9 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 10 7.7 3-1/4
6 13 QINGYUAN STAR CP-/B1/TT- T Marquand · D J Hall 5 50.0 3-1/2
7 8 HARMONY N HOME Closed strongly M F Poon · K H Ting 14 55.0 3-1/2
8 6 WIN SPEED B M Chadwick · M Newnham 12 10.0 4
9 3 CONSPIRACY WITNESS H Bowman · D A Hayes 13 48.0 4-1/4
10 11 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY CP/TT K Teetan · J Richards 6 10.0 4-1/4
11 7 GENERAL SMART Closed strongly B/XB/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 11 214.0 4-3/4
12 12 THE AUSPICIOUS H K De Melo · Y S Tsui 3 239.0 5-1/4
13 4 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor 7 18.0 5-3/4
14 5 LUCKY STATEMENT TT A Atzeni · K L Man 4 131.0 70-1/2
0 FOXHUNTER KING A Hamelin · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER OF ALL2. KINGLY DEMEANOR+0.1L3. DRACO+2L4. SPIRIT OF PEACE+2L5. JUMBO FORTUNE+3.25L6. QINGYUAN STAR+3.5L7. HARMONY N HOME+3.5L8. WIN SPEED+4L9. CONSPIRACY WITNESS+4.25L10. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SPIRIT OF PEACE (18.9%) finished 4th — the winner MASTER OF ALL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE 18.9% 5.29 4
2 2 MASTER OF ALL 18.4% 5.44 1
3 10 DRACO 15.3% 6.54 3
4 11 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 8.2% 12.16 10
5 6 WIN SPEED 7.9% 12.74 8
6 3 CONSPIRACY WITNESS 6.2% 16.09 9
7 14 KINGLY DEMEANOR 5.8% 17.33 2
8 4 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC 5.8% 17.33 13
9 9 JUMBO FORTUNE 5.4% 18.67 5
10 5 LUCKY STATEMENT 3.0% 33.69 14
11 8 HARMONY N HOME 1.9% 51.41 7
12 13 QINGYUAN STAR 1.8% 55.65 6
13 7 GENERAL SMART 0.8% 124.73 11
14 12 THE AUSPICIOUS 0.7% 139.44 12
SPIRIT OF PEACEMASTER OF ALL — wonDRACOGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYWIN SPEEDCONSPIRACY WITNESSKINGLY DEMEANOREVERYONE'S CLASSICJUMBO FORTUNELUCKY STATEMENTHARMONY N HOMEQINGYUAN STARGENERAL SMARTTHE AUSPICIOUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 25.5

PLACE

2 12

10 23

14 45

QUINELLA

2,14 260.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 41

2,14 89.5

10,14 192

FORECAST

2,14 377

TIERCE

2,14,10 2,240

TRIO

2,10,14 463

FIRST 4

1,2,10,14 406

QUARTET

2,14,10,1 9,244

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/1/2 303

1/1/14 759

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,14/2,10,14 27,032

4TH DOUBLE

1/2 70

1/14 216.5