Sha Tin · 2025-02-16 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 1 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | BEAUTIFUL WIN Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | TELECOM DRAGON Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | MUSANG KING B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | JOLLY JUMPER CP1/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 11 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B2/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 4 | 6.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Closed strongly CP1/TT1 K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 13 | 98.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | RICH HORSE XB/H1 B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 3 | 172.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 8 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY BLESSING Led early B T Marquand · P C Ng | T Marquand | P C Ng | 14 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | D STAR B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 10 | 53.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | MAGIC COMBO TT1 H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 85.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-16 was Class 4 over 1400m. MAGNIFICENT NINE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1, with FORERUNNER second and BEAUTIFUL WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORERUNNER | 20.1% | 4.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | LUCKY GOLD | 13.0% | 7.72 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 12.1% | 8.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | TELECOM DRAGON | 8.0% | 12.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 6.9% | 14.60 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | MAGIC COMBO | 6.5% | 15.33 | 14 |
| 7 | 9 | JOLLY JUMPER | 6.0% | 16.72 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 5.8% | 17.32 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY BLESSING | 5.4% | 18.43 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON | 4.6% | 21.74 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 3.7% | 27.20 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | D STAR | 3.6% | 27.62 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | MUSANG KING | 3.5% | 28.89 | 5 |
| 14 | 2 | RICH HORSE | 0.9% | 115.90 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 26
PLACE
1 12.5
3 16.5
14 55
QUINELLA
1,3 58
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 25.5
1,14 105.5
3,14 142
FORECAST
1,3 107
TIERCE
1,3,14 1,100
TRIO
1,3,14 338
FIRST 4
1,3,4,14 484
QUARTET
1,3,14,4 6,921
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 70
1/3 29