Sha Tin · 2025-02-16 · 05:05
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-16 was Class 4 over 1200m. KA YING WARRIOR, ridden by M F Poon and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with TOP DRAGON second and LASERBLANCA third. The 2.5 favourite TOP DRAGON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | KA YING WARRIOR CP-/XB2/TT- 1.08.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 8 | 13.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | TOP DRAGON H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 3 | 2.5 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | LASERBLANCA B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 5 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE TT1 T Marquand · C S Shum | T Marquand | C S Shum | 4 | 61.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EXCEED THE WISH H L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 98.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | TIME TO FIRE A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 188.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | BINGO BABE TT1 H Doyle · Y S Tsui | H Doyle | Y S Tsui | 2 | 129.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 37.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOP DRAGON | 26.3% | 3.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 19.5% | 5.12 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | LASERBLANCA | 8.0% | 12.52 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 7.3% | 13.61 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 7.0% | 14.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 6.4% | 15.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | EXCEED THE WISH | 6.1% | 16.42 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 5.3% | 18.75 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 4.9% | 20.29 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | TIME TO FIRE | 4.6% | 21.71 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | KA YING WARRIOR | 2.5% | 40.60 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | BINGO BABE | 2.0% | 49.54 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 138.5
PLACE
2 13
4 12.5
11 37
QUINELLA
2,11 175
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 20
2,11 61.5
4,11 86
FORECAST
11,2 490
TIERCE
11,2,4 1,713
TRIO
2,4,11 158
FIRST 4
2,4,8,11 520
QUARTET
11,2,4,8 17,270
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 49.5
2/11 2,314.5