沙田 · 2025-04-06 · 05:50
第 3場
2025-04-06沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的TOP THRONE勝出，贏出3/4。DAZZLING FIT獲得亞軍；MOUNT EVEREST獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TOP THRONE CP1 1.09.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DAZZLING FIT XB L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 8 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MOUNT EVEREST TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | KING OBERON B K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | AMAZING GALAXY CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 4 | 57.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | PEJIBAYE TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BULL ATTITUDE L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | POCHETTINO H/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | MATTERS MOST CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 156.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SHINY RAPIDASH B/H/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PRECIOUS HILL TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 95.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 7 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | MAGNIAC V/TT J Orman · T P Yung | J Orman | T P Yung | 6 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | RUN RAN RUN B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 62.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MOUNT EVEREST | 30.9% | 3.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | TOP THRONE | 21.9% | 4.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | DAZZLING FIT | 11.1% | 8.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | RUN RAN RUN | 6.1% | 16.33 | 14 |
| 5 | 13 | POCHETTINO | 4.5% | 21.99 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | PEJIBAYE | 4.1% | 24.23 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | BULL ATTITUDE | 3.6% | 27.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | KING OBERON | 3.6% | 28.00 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | SMART ENGINEER | 3.3% | 30.21 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | SHINY RAPIDASH | 2.8% | 35.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | MATTERS MOST | 2.4% | 41.41 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | MAGNIAC | 2.4% | 41.46 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | AMAZING GALAXY | 1.9% | 52.78 | 5 |
| 14 | 10 | PRECIOUS HILL | 1.2% | 80.14 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 30
PLACE
2 16
5 16
9 11.5
QUINELLA
5,9 67
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 33.5
2,9 27
5,9 26.5
FORECAST
9,5 135
TIERCE
9,5,2 403
TRIO
2,5,9 67
FIRST 4
2,5,9,14 271
QUARTET
9,5,2,14 4,535
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 21.5
5/9 122.5