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Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 05:50

Race 3

Class 4 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 4 over 1200m. TOP THRONE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with DAZZLING FIT second and MOUNT EVEREST third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 TOP THRONE CP1 1.09.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes 2 3.0 3/4
2 5 DAZZLING FIT XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 8 4.1 3/4
3 2 MOUNT EVEREST TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So 1 3.9 1-1/4
4 14 KING OBERON B K De Melo · D J Whyte 11 32.0 1-3/4
5 11 AMAZING GALAXY CP M F Poon · K H Ting 4 57.0 2
6 6 PEJIBAYE TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards 10 6.7 2-1/4
7 4 BULL ATTITUDE L Hewitson · M Newnham 13 27.0 2-1/2
8 13 POCHETTINO H/TT A Badel · J Size 9 32.0 3-1/2
9 3 MATTERS MOST CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 12 156.0 3-1/2
10 12 SHINY RAPIDASH B/H/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 5 30.0 4-1/4
11 10 PRECIOUS HILL TT P N Wong · K L Man 3 95.0 5
12 8 SMART ENGINEER M Chadwick · K W Lui 7 44.0 6-1/4
13 1 MAGNIAC V/TT J Orman · T P Yung 6 38.0 6-1/2
14 7 RUN RAN RUN B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 14 62.0 7

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOP THRONE2. DAZZLING FIT+0.75L3. MOUNT EVEREST+1.25L4. KING OBERON+1.75L5. AMAZING GALAXY+2L6. PEJIBAYE+2.25L7. BULL ATTITUDE+2.5L8. POCHETTINO+3.5L9. MATTERS MOST+3.5L10. SHINY RAPIDASH+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MOUNT EVEREST (30.9%) finished 3rd — the winner TOP THRONE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 MOUNT EVEREST 30.9% 3.24 3
2 9 TOP THRONE 21.9% 4.57 1
3 5 DAZZLING FIT 11.1% 8.97 2
4 7 RUN RAN RUN 6.1% 16.33 14
5 13 POCHETTINO 4.5% 21.99 8
6 6 PEJIBAYE 4.1% 24.23 6
7 4 BULL ATTITUDE 3.6% 27.91 7
8 14 KING OBERON 3.6% 28.00 4
9 8 SMART ENGINEER 3.3% 30.21 12
10 12 SHINY RAPIDASH 2.8% 35.11 10
11 3 MATTERS MOST 2.4% 41.41 9
12 1 MAGNIAC 2.4% 41.46 13
13 11 AMAZING GALAXY 1.9% 52.78 5
14 10 PRECIOUS HILL 1.2% 80.14 11
MOUNT EVERESTTOP THRONE — wonDAZZLING FITRUN RAN RUNPOCHETTINOPEJIBAYEBULL ATTITUDEKING OBERONSMART ENGINEERSHINY RAPIDASHMATTERS MOSTMAGNIACAMAZING GALAXYPRECIOUS HILL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 30

PLACE

2 16

5 16

9 11.5

QUINELLA

5,9 67

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 33.5

2,9 27

5,9 26.5

FORECAST

9,5 135

TIERCE

9,5,2 403

TRIO

2,5,9 67

FIRST 4

2,5,9,14 271

QUARTET

9,5,2,14 4,535

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

5/5 21.5

5/9 122.5