Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 08:15
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 2 over 1600m. VOYAGE SAMURAI, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with HELENE FEELING second and WINNING DRAGON third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Wire to wire B 1.34.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 1.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SNOWFIELD Closed strongly XB/TT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 7 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO V-/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | C P BRAVE V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.1 | 3-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 29.6% | 3.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON | 24.0% | 4.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | HELENE FEELING | 21.0% | 4.76 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 8.8% | 11.40 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | C P BRAVE | 7.5% | 13.37 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO | 5.1% | 19.43 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SNOWFIELD | 4.0% | 24.93 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 16.5
PLACE
1 15.5
3 20
5 10.1
QUINELLA
1,5 34
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 40.5
1,5 17
3,5 27
FORECAST
5,1 44
TIERCE
5,1,3 118
TRIO
1,3,5 46
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 145
QUARTET
5,1,3,6 715
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3,14/1 22
3,14/5 56.5