Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 13:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 1 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.3 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 61.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | SO AWESOME Led early B/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING PHANTOM Closed strongly P- A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK Closed strongly XB K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 11 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | SPEEDY CHARIOT Closed strongly B/TT J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | TIMESTORM Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 69.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT- L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 4.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | BEAU GOSSE B/TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | DOUBLE BINGO H-/P-/TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 83.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | SONIC BOOM CP1/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 8 | 51.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 5 over 1400m. REGENCY HAPPY STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by D Eustace, won by SH, with LUCKY MAN second and FAMILY FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 20.0% | 5.00 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | LUCKY MAN | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 7.3% | 13.72 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING PHANTOM | 7.1% | 14.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | SO AWESOME | 4.9% | 20.28 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | SONIC BOOM | 3.6% | 27.76 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 3.2% | 31.15 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 3.0% | 33.40 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | PERFECT PEACH | 2.2% | 45.49 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | DOUBLE BINGO | 2.2% | 45.82 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | TIMESTORM | 2.1% | 47.04 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 2.1% | 48.28 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | BEAU GOSSE | 2.0% | 49.41 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
1 20.5
5 12
6 106.5
QUINELLA
1,5 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 34
1,6 348
5,6 216
FORECAST
5,1 144
TIERCE
5,1,6 3,330
TRIO
1,5,6 1,067
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 2,069
QUARTET
5,1,6,7 28,907
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/1 39.5
12/5 190
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/1,5,6 198,160