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Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 08:45

Race 8

Class 4 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 4 over 1400m. MR COOL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with ETALON OR second and SHAMUS STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite SHAMUS STORM finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 MR COOL Closed strongly TT 1.21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 11 5.5 1/2
2 4 ETALON OR Closed strongly B/TT- A Badel · P F Yiu 12 6.2 1/2
3 7 SHAMUS STORM Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes 8 4.5 3/4
4 11 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT H Bowman · J Size 2 13.0 1
5 6 ROMAN CROWN B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng 4 29.0 1
6 1 MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly Y L Chung · K W Lui 7 38.0 2
7 10 CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So 1 11.0 3-1/2
8 8 CELESTIAL PATCH Closed strongly XB1/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 10 77.0 3-1/2
9 3 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT P N Wong · T P Yung 14 15.0 4
10 13 ALWAYS MY FOLKS H B Thompson · C W Chang 13 122.0 6
11 2 KA YING SUPERB Led early H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 6 7.6 6-1/2
12 5 AUTUMN VIBES Closed strongly SB/TT Z Purton · J Richards 9 7.6 6-3/4
13 14 SPORTIC WARRIOR H- H T Mo · K L Man 5 231.0 10
14 12 VIEW ALL THINGS M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 3 12.0 12-3/4
0 MISSION VOICE L Ferraris · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MR COOL2. ETALON OR+0.5L3. SHAMUS STORM+0.75L4. RAGING RAPIDS+1L5. ROMAN CROWN+1L6. MIGHTY STEED+2L7. CARRYON SMILING+3.5L8. CELESTIAL PATCH+3.5L9. FUN TOGETHER+4L10. ALWAYS MY FOLKS+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MR COOL (17.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 MR COOL 17.9% 5.59 1
2 5 AUTUMN VIBES 15.1% 6.61 12
3 2 KA YING SUPERB 13.4% 7.46 11
4 4 ETALON OR 10.8% 9.30 2
5 7 SHAMUS STORM 8.9% 11.20 3
6 11 RAGING RAPIDS 8.2% 12.24 4
7 10 CARRYON SMILING 5.9% 16.92 7
8 1 MIGHTY STEED 4.7% 21.16 6
9 3 FUN TOGETHER 4.7% 21.36 9
10 12 VIEW ALL THINGS 4.0% 24.79 14
11 6 ROMAN CROWN 2.9% 34.33 5
12 13 ALWAYS MY FOLKS 1.6% 62.42 10
13 8 CELESTIAL PATCH 1.2% 83.44 8
14 14 SPORTIC WARRIOR 0.7% 145.90 13
MR COOL — wonAUTUMN VIBESKA YING SUPERBETALON ORSHAMUS STORMRAGING RAPIDSCARRYON SMILINGMIGHTY STEEDFUN TOGETHERVIEW ALL THINGSROMAN CROWNALWAYS MY FOLKSCELESTIAL PATCHSPORTIC WARRIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 55.5

PLACE

4 23.5

7 18

9 22.5

QUINELLA

4,9 253

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 60.5

4,9 91

7,9 72.5

FORECAST

9,4 440

TIERCE

9,4,7 2,005

TRIO

4,7,9 377

FIRST 4

4,7,9,11 872

QUARTET

9,4,7,11 15,485

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,5/4,7,9 2,939

7TH DOUBLE

5/4 23.5

5/9 70.5