Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 07:45
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 3 over 1200m. GENEVA, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with LIFELINE EXPRESS second and LO PAN SPIRIT third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GENEVA 1.08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 2 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BLAZING WIND CP/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 77.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | TARGET AUDIENCE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB1 M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 3 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING OVATION TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FREE PONY SR/H1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 141.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | KING OF DUBAI TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 10 | 63.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | WONDERSTAR B P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GENIUS BABY K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 126.0 | 7 |
| — | 14 | LEGENDARY IMPACT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 32.7% | 3.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | GENEVA | 20.5% | 4.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 18.2% | 5.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING OVATION | 6.4% | 15.74 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 5.3% | 18.71 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 4.4% | 22.60 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 2.3% | 43.36 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 2.2% | 46.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | BLAZING WIND | 2.2% | 46.03 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | KING OF DUBAI | 2.1% | 48.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | GENIUS BABY | 1.7% | 58.88 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | WONDERSTAR | 1.2% | 83.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | FREE PONY | 0.8% | 120.86 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
1 11.5
3 13.5
8 17
QUINELLA
1,3 42.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 20
1,8 28
3,8 30.5
FORECAST
3,1 84
TIERCE
3,1,8 242
TRIO
1,3,8 56
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 263
QUARTET
3,1,8,5 2,781
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/1,3,8,14 25,584
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 193
12/3,14 892
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,6/1,4,12/1,3,8,14 1,231,646
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,6/1,4,12/Any Combination 22,197